Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, with the Las Vegas Raiders holding the top selection after a dismal season and acute need at QB. His status as Heisman Trophy winner and leader of Indiana's national championship run—coupled with dominant performances against elite defenses like Ohio State and Alabama—has solidified his QB1 ranking across mock drafts and scouting reports. Mendoza's recent Indiana pro day, where he dazzled all 32 teams' scouts with precise deep-ball accuracy, arm strength, and composure at 6'5", 236 pounds, further entrenched his position just days ago. While exceeding 90% implied probability, rare shifts could arise from an unforeseen Raiders trade-down, late medical red flags, or a defensive prospect like Arvell Reese surging in final interviews.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於費爾南多·門多薩 97.7%
LaNorris Sellers <1%
但丁·摩爾 <1%
Ty Simpson <1%
$639,188 交易量
$639,188 交易量
費爾南多·門多薩
98%
LaNorris Sellers
1%
但丁·摩爾
1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
卡森·貝克
<1%
Spencer Fano
<1%
阿奇·曼寧
<1%
大衛·貝利
<1%
加勒特·納斯邁爾
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
喬丹·泰森
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
彼得·伍茲
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索耶·羅伯遜
<1%
雷倫·威爾森
<1%
康納·維格曼
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
約翰·梅特爾
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
費爾南多·門多薩 97.7%
LaNorris Sellers <1%
但丁·摩爾 <1%
Ty Simpson <1%
$639,188 交易量
$639,188 交易量
費爾南多·門多薩
98%
LaNorris Sellers
1%
但丁·摩爾
1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
卡森·貝克
<1%
Spencer Fano
<1%
阿奇·曼寧
<1%
大衛·貝利
<1%
加勒特·納斯邁爾
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
喬丹·泰森
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
彼得·伍茲
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索耶·羅伯遜
<1%
雷倫·威爾森
<1%
康納·維格曼
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
約翰·梅特爾
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, with the Las Vegas Raiders holding the top selection after a dismal season and acute need at QB. His status as Heisman Trophy winner and leader of Indiana's national championship run—coupled with dominant performances against elite defenses like Ohio State and Alabama—has solidified his QB1 ranking across mock drafts and scouting reports. Mendoza's recent Indiana pro day, where he dazzled all 32 teams' scouts with precise deep-ball accuracy, arm strength, and composure at 6'5", 236 pounds, further entrenched his position just days ago. While exceeding 90% implied probability, rare shifts could arise from an unforeseen Raiders trade-down, late medical red flags, or a defensive prospect like Arvell Reese surging in final interviews.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions