Fernando Mendoza commands 98.5% implied probability as the 2026 NFL Draft's first overall pick, reflecting unanimous consensus across mock drafts from Mel Kiper Jr. and others, fueled by his Heisman Trophy win, national championship with Indiana Hoosiers, and dominant pro day performance last week attended by Las Vegas Raiders scouts—who hold the top selection. The 6-foot-5 quarterback's rapid rise from unheralded recruit to clear QB1, with elite arm talent and prototypical size, has locked in trader sentiment amid final big boards ranking him atop all prospects. Realistic challenges remain slim, limited to an unforeseen Raiders trade-down or late injury revelation, as no other quarterback like Dante Moore or Carson Beck has closed the gap in recent evaluations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於費爾南多·門多薩 98.6%
但丁·摩爾 <1%
Ty Simpson <1%
卡森·貝克 <1%
$1,052,637 交易量
$1,052,637 交易量
費爾南多·門多薩
99%
但丁·摩爾
<1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
卡森·貝克
<1%
Spencer Fano
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
加勒特·納斯邁爾
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
LaNorris Sellers
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
喬丹·泰森
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
阿奇·曼寧
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
彼得·伍茲
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索耶·羅伯遜
<1%
雷倫·威爾森
<1%
康納·維格曼
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
約翰·梅特爾
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
大衛·貝利
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
費爾南多·門多薩 98.6%
但丁·摩爾 <1%
Ty Simpson <1%
卡森·貝克 <1%
$1,052,637 交易量
$1,052,637 交易量
費爾南多·門多薩
99%
但丁·摩爾
<1%
Ty Simpson
<1%
卡森·貝克
<1%
Spencer Fano
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
加勒特·納斯邁爾
<1%
Cade Klubnik
<1%
Jayden Maiava
<1%
Matayo Uiagalelei
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kyron Drones
<1%
Aidan Chiles
<1%
Jalon Daniels
<1%
LaNorris Sellers
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
Rueben Bain Jr
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
Caleb Downs
<1%
喬丹·泰森
<1%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
阿奇·曼寧
<1%
Sam Leavitt
<1%
彼得·伍茲
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索耶·羅伯遜
<1%
雷倫·威爾森
<1%
康納·維格曼
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
Drew Allar
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
約翰·梅特爾
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
大衛·貝利
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Fernando Mendoza commands 98.5% implied probability as the 2026 NFL Draft's first overall pick, reflecting unanimous consensus across mock drafts from Mel Kiper Jr. and others, fueled by his Heisman Trophy win, national championship with Indiana Hoosiers, and dominant pro day performance last week attended by Las Vegas Raiders scouts—who hold the top selection. The 6-foot-5 quarterback's rapid rise from unheralded recruit to clear QB1, with elite arm talent and prototypical size, has locked in trader sentiment amid final big boards ranking him atop all prospects. Realistic challenges remain slim, limited to an unforeseen Raiders trade-down or late injury revelation, as no other quarterback like Dante Moore or Carson Beck has closed the gap in recent evaluations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions