Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner dominate trader consensus at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Men's Wimbledon title, reflecting their No. 1 and No. 2 ATP rankings and dueling hard-court mastery entering the grass swing. Sinner's flawless Indian Wells Masters 1000 triumph without dropping a set two weeks ago, followed by straight-sets wins over Tiafoe and others in Miami, has propelled him neck-and-neck with Alcaraz, who suffered his first 2026 loss in the Indian Wells semifinals to Medvedev before a shock third-round Miami exit against Korda. Alcaraz's back-to-back Wimbledon defenses provide grass-court edge, but Sinner's flat trajectory and low-bounce affinity heighten the rivalry. Djokovic's shoulder injury—forcing Miami and Monte Carlo Masters withdrawals—caps him at 7.3%, underscoring the youth-driven deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 37%
揚尼克·辛納 36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 7.3%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 3.6%
$2,414,556 交易量
$2,414,556 交易量
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯
37%
揚尼克·辛納
36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
7%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
4%
Jack Draper
2%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
本·謝爾頓
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
洛倫佐·穆塞蒂
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
烏戈·亨伯特
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
<1%
亞瑟·菲斯
<1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
湯米·保羅
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
<1%
阿列克謝·波皮林
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科爾達
<1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
湯瑪什·馬哈奇
<1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 37%
揚尼克·辛納 36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 7.3%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 3.6%
$2,414,556 交易量
$2,414,556 交易量
卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯
37%
揚尼克·辛納
36%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
7%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
4%
Jack Draper
2%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
本·謝爾頓
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
洛倫佐·穆塞蒂
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
烏戈·亨伯特
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
<1%
亞瑟·菲斯
<1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
湯米·保羅
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
<1%
阿列克謝·波皮林
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科爾達
<1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
湯瑪什·馬哈奇
<1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner dominate trader consensus at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Men's Wimbledon title, reflecting their No. 1 and No. 2 ATP rankings and dueling hard-court mastery entering the grass swing. Sinner's flawless Indian Wells Masters 1000 triumph without dropping a set two weeks ago, followed by straight-sets wins over Tiafoe and others in Miami, has propelled him neck-and-neck with Alcaraz, who suffered his first 2026 loss in the Indian Wells semifinals to Medvedev before a shock third-round Miami exit against Korda. Alcaraz's back-to-back Wimbledon defenses provide grass-court edge, but Sinner's flat trajectory and low-bounce affinity heighten the rivalry. Djokovic's shoulder injury—forcing Miami and Monte Carlo Masters withdrawals—caps him at 7.3%, underscoring the youth-driven deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions