Spain leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability following an unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, recently capped by a 4-0 demolition of Bulgaria, extending momentum from their Euro 2024 triumph with stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England (13%) and France (11%) trail closely on dominant showings, including England's 5-0 rout of Latvia and France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil via Kylian Mbappé's goal, highlighting deep squads and attacking firepower. Argentina (10%) banks on Lionel Messi's experience despite his advancing age, while Brazil (9%) contends with Rodrygo's early-March ACL rupture ruling him out. The tight clustering among top European and South American powers reflects qualification parity, stylistic versatility, and looming uncertainties in player fitness, group stage draws, and the expanded 48-team format's upset potential just months from kickoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於西班牙 15.8%
英格蘭 12.8%
法國 11.1%
阿根廷 9.8%
$415,786,725 交易量
$415,786,725 交易量
西班牙
16%
英格蘭
13%
法國
11%
阿根廷
10%
巴西
9%
葡萄牙
7%
德國
5%
荷蘭
3%
挪威
3%
意大利
2%
比利時
2%
哥倫比亞
2%
美國
2%
摩洛哥
2%
日本
1%
烏拉圭
1%
墨西哥
1%
克羅埃西亞
1%
瑞士
1%
厄瓜多
1%
塞內加爾
1%
加拿大
1%
奧地利
1%
南韓
<1%
巴拉圭
<1%
象牙海岸
<1%
阿爾及利亞
<1%
蘇格蘭
<1%
突尼西亞
<1%
澳洲
<1%
沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
埃及
<1%
海地
<1%
約旦
<1%
庫拉索
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加納
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
卡達
<1%
紐西蘭
<1%
烏茲別克
<1%
西班牙 15.8%
英格蘭 12.8%
法國 11.1%
阿根廷 9.8%
$415,786,725 交易量
$415,786,725 交易量
西班牙
16%
英格蘭
13%
法國
11%
阿根廷
10%
巴西
9%
葡萄牙
7%
德國
5%
荷蘭
3%
挪威
3%
意大利
2%
比利時
2%
哥倫比亞
2%
美國
2%
摩洛哥
2%
日本
1%
烏拉圭
1%
墨西哥
1%
克羅埃西亞
1%
瑞士
1%
厄瓜多
1%
塞內加爾
1%
加拿大
1%
奧地利
1%
南韓
<1%
巴拉圭
<1%
象牙海岸
<1%
阿爾及利亞
<1%
蘇格蘭
<1%
突尼西亞
<1%
澳洲
<1%
沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
埃及
<1%
海地
<1%
約旦
<1%
庫拉索
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加納
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
卡達
<1%
紐西蘭
<1%
烏茲別克
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability following an unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, recently capped by a 4-0 demolition of Bulgaria, extending momentum from their Euro 2024 triumph with stars like Lamine Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England (13%) and France (11%) trail closely on dominant showings, including England's 5-0 rout of Latvia and France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil via Kylian Mbappé's goal, highlighting deep squads and attacking firepower. Argentina (10%) banks on Lionel Messi's experience despite his advancing age, while Brazil (9%) contends with Rodrygo's early-March ACL rupture ruling him out. The tight clustering among top European and South American powers reflects qualification parity, stylistic versatility, and looming uncertainties in player fitness, group stage draws, and the expanded 48-team format's upset potential just months from kickoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions