Market icon

2026年金球獎得主

Market icon

2026年金球獎得主

基利安·姆巴佩 25%

拉明·亞馬爾 24%

哈里·凱恩 20.6%

佩德里 4.3%

Polymarket

$2,046,666 交易量

基利安·姆巴佩 25%

拉明·亞馬爾 24%

哈里·凱恩 20.6%

佩德里 4.3%

Polymarket

$2,046,666 交易量

基利安·姆巴佩

$65,517 交易量

25%

拉明·亞馬爾

$35,362 交易量

24%

哈里·凱恩

$621,168 交易量

21%

佩德里

$182,388 交易量

4%

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾

$427,078 交易量

4%

裘德·貝林漢

$180,593 交易量

3%

厄林·哈蘭德

$226,726 交易量

2%

奧斯曼·登貝萊

$184,420 交易量

1%

科爾·帕爾默

$15,960 交易量

1%

穆罕默德·薩拉赫

$107,454 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Ballon d'Or 2026 race, with Kylian Mbappé (24.5%), Lamine Yamal (24.0%), and Harry Kane (20.6%) tightly bunched amid stellar midseason form. Barcelona's La Liga lead (73 points from 29 matches) elevates Yamal, whose recent strikes like the March 7 winner over Athletic Club and 30+ goal involvements underscore his evolution into a total attacker. Kane's Bundesliga-leading 31 goals in 26 games power Bayern atop the table, while Mbappé, freshly recovered from a knee issue that sidelined him for four league matches, tops Champions League scoring and eyes Real Madrid's tight title pursuit. With the World Cup looming, international heroics from France, Spain, and England favorites keep probabilities fluid.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$2,046,666
結束日期
2026-10-31
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive Ballon d'Or 2026 race, with Kylian Mbappé (24.5%), Lamine Yamal (24.0%), and Harry Kane (20.6%) tightly bunched amid stellar midseason form. Barcelona's La Liga lead (73 points from 29 matches) elevates Yamal, whose recent strikes like the March 7 winner over Athletic Club and 30+ goal involvements underscore his evolution into a total attacker. Kane's Bundesliga-leading 31 goals in 26 games power Bayern atop the table, while Mbappé, freshly recovered from a knee issue that sidelined him for four league matches, tops Champions League scoring and eyes Real Madrid's tight title pursuit. With the World Cup looming, international heroics from France, Spain, and England favorites keep probabilities fluid.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$2,046,666
結束日期
2026-10-31
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年金球獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "基利安·姆巴佩" at 25%, followed by "拉明·亞馬爾" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年金球獎得主" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年金球獎得主," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年金球獎得主" is "基利安·姆巴佩" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉明·亞馬爾" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年金球獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.