Hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico hold automatic spots for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for those nations. Beyond them, no other teams have clinched qualification amid ongoing confederation playoffs: CONMEBOL leaders Argentina and Brazil dominate standings after recent wins over Peru and Chile, while Ecuador and Uruguay vie for direct berths. In AFC third-round groups, Japan, Iran, and South Korea lead with strong starts, but upsets like Uzbekistan's draw with Qatar add volatility. CAF group frontrunners Senegal and Morocco build momentum, yet Egypt falters. High uncertainty persists with UEFA qualifiers launching March 2025, 16 spots contested fiercely, plus inter-confederation playoffs deciding six more, where form and head-to-heads will shift implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,088,324 交易量
剛果(金)
68%
義大利
67%
土耳其
55%
伊拉克
57%
丹麥
49%
波蘭
35%
瑞典
33%
斯洛伐克
32%
捷克
30%
玻利維亞
30%
烏克蘭
28%
威爾斯
27%
牙買加
26%
蘇里南
27%
愛爾蘭
19%
科索沃
15%
波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
12%
阿爾巴尼亞
11%
羅馬尼亞
10%
北愛爾蘭
9%
北馬其頓
7%
新喀里多尼亞
4%
$1,088,324 交易量
剛果(金)
68%
義大利
67%
土耳其
55%
伊拉克
57%
丹麥
49%
波蘭
35%
瑞典
33%
斯洛伐克
32%
捷克
30%
玻利維亞
30%
烏克蘭
28%
威爾斯
27%
牙買加
26%
蘇里南
27%
愛爾蘭
19%
科索沃
15%
波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
12%
阿爾巴尼亞
11%
羅馬尼亞
10%
北愛爾蘭
9%
北馬其頓
7%
新喀里多尼亞
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2025, 8:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico hold automatic spots for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for those nations. Beyond them, no other teams have clinched qualification amid ongoing confederation playoffs: CONMEBOL leaders Argentina and Brazil dominate standings after recent wins over Peru and Chile, while Ecuador and Uruguay vie for direct berths. In AFC third-round groups, Japan, Iran, and South Korea lead with strong starts, but upsets like Uzbekistan's draw with Qatar add volatility. CAF group frontrunners Senegal and Morocco build momentum, yet Egypt falters. High uncertainty persists with UEFA qualifiers launching March 2025, 16 spots contested fiercely, plus inter-confederation playoffs deciding six more, where form and head-to-heads will shift implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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