Only hosts Canada, Mexico, and USA have secured automatic berths to the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, leaving 45 spots determined by confederation qualifiers amid tight races and upsets fueling volatile trader sentiment. In CONMEBOL, Argentina tops the standings after 13 matchdays, but Brazil's recent draw with Venezuela keeps the top-six battle fierce with Ecuador and Uruguay close behind, while Chile lags. AFC's third round highlights Uzbekistan matching Iran in Group A and Jordan challenging South Korea in Group B; CAF's group stage kicks off this week with powerhouses like Senegal and Morocco favored. UEFA qualifiers begin March 2025, amplifying uncertainty as November internationals loom, where head-to-head results and home advantages could reshape implied probabilities reflecting the wisdom of crowds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,088,913 交易量
剛果(金)
68%
義大利
66%
土耳其
55%
伊拉克
57%
丹麥
49%
蘇里南
28%
波蘭
35%
玻利維亞
40%
瑞典
32%
斯洛伐克
32%
捷克
30%
烏克蘭
30%
威爾斯
27%
牙買加
26%
愛爾蘭
19%
科索沃
15%
波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
12%
阿爾巴尼亞
11%
羅馬尼亞
10%
北愛爾蘭
9%
北馬其頓
7%
新喀里多尼亞
4%
$1,088,913 交易量
剛果(金)
68%
義大利
66%
土耳其
55%
伊拉克
57%
丹麥
49%
蘇里南
28%
波蘭
35%
玻利維亞
40%
瑞典
32%
斯洛伐克
32%
捷克
30%
烏克蘭
30%
威爾斯
27%
牙買加
26%
愛爾蘭
19%
科索沃
15%
波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
12%
阿爾巴尼亞
11%
羅馬尼亞
10%
北愛爾蘭
9%
北馬其頓
7%
新喀里多尼亞
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2025, 8:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Only hosts Canada, Mexico, and USA have secured automatic berths to the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, leaving 45 spots determined by confederation qualifiers amid tight races and upsets fueling volatile trader sentiment. In CONMEBOL, Argentina tops the standings after 13 matchdays, but Brazil's recent draw with Venezuela keeps the top-six battle fierce with Ecuador and Uruguay close behind, while Chile lags. AFC's third round highlights Uzbekistan matching Iran in Group A and Jordan challenging South Korea in Group B; CAF's group stage kicks off this week with powerhouses like Senegal and Morocco favored. UEFA qualifiers begin March 2025, amplifying uncertainty as November internationals loom, where head-to-head results and home advantages could reshape implied probabilities reflecting the wisdom of crowds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions