突發政治新聞與預測
2026年9月20日
突發新聞
檢視過去 24 小時內波動最大的預測盤口

Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?


Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?


CDU會在2026年柏林州選舉中贏得第二多的席位嗎?

德國另類選擇黨(AfD)會在2026年9月的兩場德國邦議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎?

統一俄羅斯黨會在下一屆俄羅斯國家杜馬選舉中贏得340至354個席位嗎?


Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
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突發新聞
Anthropic’s next Claude Opus model projected to be released by Thursday. 72% chance.
突發新聞
Trump pardons PGA Tour caddie Eric Larson, convicted of conspiracy to distribute cocaine in 1995.

突發新聞
Elon announces Boring Company is developing a precursor Hyperloop tunnel between Austin & San Antonio, aiming to cut a drive that can take 2.5 hours to under 30 minutes.
突發新聞
Trump administration is reportedly preparing to sanction the International Criminal Court.
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FAA to roll out AI tool for air traffic control starting Monday.
突發新聞
Microsoft AI chief Mustafa Suleyman warns China shouldn’t be used as a “bogeyman” to avoid progress on AI safety.
突發新聞
German Chancellor Merz’s CDU party heads for its worst state election result since 1949, with just 5.5% in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, exit poll shows.
突發新聞
Flock Safety reportedly offers employee buyouts to shrink its workforce as backlash grows over its surveillance technology.
突發新聞
Venezuelan rescue dog Tsunami honored with a bronze statue in Maracaibo after helping locate at least 26 earthquake survivors.

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Trump eliminates “Supreme Intelligence” from his AI naming poll, suggesting its association with the Supreme Court hurt its support.

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Trump reveals his proposed 250-foot D.C. arch will double as a “military complex” housing a fleet of drones, snipers, & ammunition.

突發新聞
Jake Paul warns the 2nd Amendment isn't sufficient anymore, says citizens should be able to arm themselves with drones, EMPs, and rocket launchers.
突發新聞
Flávio Bolsonaro surges to an all-time high in Brazil's presidential election odds, with the first round just two weeks away. 58% chance.

突發新聞
Professor Jiang claims AI isn’t real intelligence & is instead “manipulated by humans somewhere in India.”
突發新聞
Italian PM Giorgia Meloni announces plans to ban burqas and niqabs in schools.
突發新聞
GPT-6 Astra-controlled robots found willing to stab a baby doll, put a screwdriver in a toaster, and mix bleach with ammonia in new safety tests.
新預測盤口
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?
突發新聞
Apple’s hardware chief says seeing people put screen protectors on their iPhones “makes my skin crawl.”
突發新聞
Paraguay moves to restore diplomatic ties with Venezuela as President Santiago Peña meets Delcy Rodríguez in Caracas following years of fractured relations.
新預測盤口
Base iPhone 18 released by...?
突發新聞
Türkiye announces it is prepared to provide military support to Saudi Arabia as Houthi attacks escalate.
突發新聞
Venezuela signs oil and gas agreement with French energy giant TotalEnergies.
突發新聞
DR Congo begins testing an experimental Ebola vaccine on 20,000 frontline workers.
突發新聞
Top U.S. and Chinese officials to hold AI security and trade talks at JPMorgan’s Manhattan headquarters Sunday.
新預測盤口
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
突發新聞
Renowned mathematician Terence Tao calls for slowing down AI development as AI begins solving increasingly difficult mathematical problems.
突發新聞
FBI identifies 35 more potential victims of fake 49ers player Daejon Love.
突發新聞
Denmark declares Greenland’s sovereignty will remain intact despite granting the U.S. “permanent control” over its security.
突發新聞
Open-source AI models surge to a record 78.4% of token volume on Vercel’s AI Gateway.
新預測盤口
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?
突發新聞
U.S. State Department warns Americans to “seriously reconsider” travel to or through the Middle East, citing the potential for the rapid military escalation.
突發新聞
Trump abruptly cuts his Camp David stay short and returns to the White House a day earlier than scheduled.
突發新聞
Mamdani launches a 36-person “tech enforcement unit” to probe companies’ internal data & pursue violations involving pricing, wages, and algorithms.
突發新聞
Trump reportedly plans to use his upcoming UN General Assembly address to make the case that Iran “cannot have a nuclear weapon.”
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Gavin Newsom signs law banning military forces from other states from entering California.
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Bitcoin remains more likely to crash below $65,000 than to reclaim $100,000 by end of year.
突發新聞
GPT-6 Astra cracks another unsolved German military cipher, this one from the final hours of World War I, revealing troop positions & the advance of Serbian forces.
突發新聞
MrBeast builds an entire $10 million village in Ghana to help combat child labor on cacao farms, including free education, housing, clean water, solar power, & a medical clinic.
突發新聞
Florida plastic surgeon accused of murdering an attorney & disposing of his body represents himself at trial, personally cross-examining witnesses.

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Andrew Yang raises concerns over an AI bubble as he says multiple organizations are pulling back on AI spending due to “low ROI.”
突發新聞
Trump announces he is forming an AI Force, modeled after Space Force, & will soon appoint an AI czar — tells “only high IQ individuals” to apply.
突發新聞
FAA restricts airspace above Waco, TX for the Tesla Roadster's October 1st reveal, as speculation grows it could be equipped with SpaceX rocket trusters.
突發新聞
Netanyahu dramatically shortens his U.S. trip to just hours in New York, planning to arrive for his UN address & depart shortly afterward.
突發新聞
Democrats projected to win young men aged 18-24 in the midterms, after Trump won the demographic by 15 points in 2024. 79% chance.

突發新聞
Trump declares the Supreme Court has “lacked the courage” to Make America Great Again.
突發新聞
San Francisco health officials shut down AI insurance startup Corgi’s 24/7 cafe for operating without a valid health permit.
突發新聞
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez donates $300,000 to help elect New York Democrats & announces plans to campaign across the state ahead of the midterms.
突發新聞
Northwestern engineers unveil the “Phantom Twist,” a drone that spins so fast it becomes nearly invisible to human vision.

突發新聞
President Trump calls for renaming “Artificial Intelligence,” launching a poll to choose the best name.

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Argentina to automatically share crypto transaction data with foreign tax authorities beginning in 2029.
突發新聞
OpenAI projected to launch a new consumer hardware product by end of year — 54% chance.
突發新聞
Anthropic partners with Accenture to embed independent AI safety evaluators directly inside the company.
突發新聞
NASA discovers a “once-in-a-century” lunar impact crater, the largest newly formed crater ever identified in the solar system.

突發新聞
Germany permanently closes its Consulate General in St. Petersburg after 54 years, as ties with Russia deteriorate.
突發新聞
White House officially starts implementing Trump’s media ban, blocking MS NOW journalists from entering.
突發新聞
Gavin Newsom says closing California beaches during COVID was “insane, in hindsight.”
突發新聞
Anthropic is considering releasing a new AI model to counter OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra momentum, just days after CEO Dario Amodei called for the industry to “slow the pace” of AI development. — Reuters
新預測盤口
Trump meets with Greenland PM by...?
突發新聞
Billionaire Manchester United co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe declares he has “lost confidence” in the UK, arguing the country is in decline due to high taxes & immigration.
突發新聞
Germany receives the first of 35 F-35A stealth jets from Lockheed Martin.
突發新聞
Switzerland moves to bolster its military & national resilience under a new security strategy, citing threats from Russia.
新預測盤口
Anthropic lab leak by...?
突發新聞
Denmark accelerates a $275 million military aid package for Ukraine after a Russian warship fired flares at a Danish helicopter.
突發新聞
Polish PM Donald Tusk declares, "We do not intend to give up even a scrap of our territory” amid looming threats from Russia.
突發新聞
Russia seizes control of Nestlé & Auchan’s Russian assets, with the Kremlin calling the move payback for “hostile actions” by European countries.
新預測盤口
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
突發新聞
South Korea tells the U.S. it is willing to make a “substantive contribution” to restoring freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.
突發新聞
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declares there is a “0% chance” the world ends by 2030 because of AI.
突發新聞
North Korea rejects an IAEA resolution criticizing its nuclear weapons program, declaring its status as a nuclear power is “permanently enshrined in law.”
突發新聞
Sen. Josh Hawley summons CEO of Flock Safety to testify before Congress over privacy & security concerns.
突發新聞
NATO’s top commander joins Pentagon discussions on “reshaping” the U.S. military presence in Europe, where roughly 80,000 American troops are currently deployed.
突發新聞
FBI reportedly believes women are pretending to be tradwives, targeting ICE officers to seduce & dox them — The Guardian
突發新聞
90 y/o Japanese bodybuilder Toshisuke Kanazawa wins the 85+ division, becoming an online sensation while maintaining a strict vegetarian diet.

突發新聞
Google reveals Gemini broke into 3 companies during an AI cybersecurity test, including one case where the model guessed passwords until it gained access.