Geopolitics predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

59%

June 30

$75m 交易量

$3m today

$519k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election

Geopolitics

Politics

Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election

92%

To Lam

$8m 交易量

$3m today

$226k Liq.

107

Ends in 3 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

80%

No strike by January 31

$12m 交易量

$2m today

$471k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

29%

$5m 交易量

$1m today

$307k Liq.

130

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Geopolitics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

5%

$39m 交易量

$774k today

$980k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

2%

$19m 交易量

$747k today

$452k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Who will Trump meet with in January?

Geopolitics

Politics

Who will Trump meet with in January?

98%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$1m 交易量

$511k today

$67.0k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

50%

January 27

$4m 交易量

$474k today

$27.2k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

14%

$13m 交易量

$410k today

$128k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Geopolitics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

17%

$1m 交易量

$320k today

$200k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Next Country US Strikes

Geopolitics

Iran

Next Country US Strikes

68%

Somalia

$1m 交易量

$286k today

$74.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

2%

$558k 交易量

$273k today

$85.1k Liq.

39

Ends in 10 days

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Geopolitics

Politics

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

$4m 交易量

$267k today

$173k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

2%

$8m 交易量

$264k today

$267k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

Geopolitics

Politics

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

94%

30+ Years

$1m 交易量

$261k today

$87.0k Liq.

43

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

14%

$10m 交易量

$260k today

$724k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Geopolitics

Politics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

88%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$1m 交易量

$228k today

$340k Liq.

79

Ends in 10 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

3%

$1m 交易量

$209k today

$81.9k Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

50%

January 27

$2m 交易量

$202k today

$22.4k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

12%

$7m 交易量

$194k today

$513k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months