Market icon

以色列會在……對加沙發動攻擊嗎?

Jan 31

$1,819,596 交易量

Jan 31, 2026

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$1,819,596
結束日期
Jan 31, 2026
建立於
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET

注意外部連結。

Market icon

以色列會在……對加沙發動攻擊嗎?

Jan 31

$1,819,596 交易量

1月20日

$28,069 交易量

<1%

1月22日

$10,660 交易量

29%

1月23日

$3,416 交易量

30%

1月24日

$1,917 交易量

37%

1月25日

$25 交易量

43%

1月26日

$47 交易量

47%

1月27日

$12 交易量

46%

1月28日

$12 交易量

46%

1月29日

$13 交易量

48%

1月30日

$12 交易量

48%

1月31日

$28 交易量

46%

關於

交易量
$1,819,596
結束日期
Jan 31, 2026
建立於
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET

注意外部連結。