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以色列会在3月31日前对黎巴嫩发动大规模地面进攻吗?

21% chance

$62,616 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,616
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建于
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

注意外部链接。

Market icon

以色列会在3月31日前对黎巴嫩发动大规模地面进攻吗?

21% chance

$62,616 交易量

关于

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,616
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建于
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

注意外部链接。