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以色列会在1月31日前在黎巴嫩发动大规模地面进攻吗?

2% chance

$83,654 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$83,654
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建于
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

注意外部链接。

Market icon

以色列会在1月31日前在黎巴嫩发动大规模地面进攻吗?

2% chance

$83,654 交易量

关于

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$83,654
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建于
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

注意外部链接。