The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 38th congressional district continues to anchor trader consensus around an eventual GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. An open seat after Wesley Hunt’s decision to run for Senate has drawn a crowded Republican primary field, but Jon Bonck’s strong March primary showing and endorsements have positioned him as the clear runoff favorite against Shelly deZevallos on May 26. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with no recent polling or events suggesting a competitive general election contest. The current pricing therefore reflects the district’s partisan voting index and the low likelihood that the Democratic nominee can overcome its established Republican advantage before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$15,478 KL.
$15,478 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
18%
$15,478 KL.
$15,478 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,513 KL.
78%
Democratic Party
$4,965 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 38th congressional district continues to anchor trader consensus around an eventual GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. An open seat after Wesley Hunt’s decision to run for Senate has drawn a crowded Republican primary field, but Jon Bonck’s strong March primary showing and endorsements have positioned him as the clear runoff favorite against Shelly deZevallos on May 26. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with no recent polling or events suggesting a competitive general election contest. The current pricing therefore reflects the district’s partisan voting index and the low likelihood that the Democratic nominee can overcome its established Republican advantage before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,478Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 38th congressional district continues to anchor trader consensus around an eventual GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. An open seat after Wesley Hunt’s decision to run for Senate has drawn a crowded Republican primary field, but Jon Bonck’s strong March primary showing and endorsements have positioned him as the clear runoff favorite against Shelly deZevallos on May 26. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with no recent polling or events suggesting a competitive general election contest. The current pricing therefore reflects the district’s partisan voting index and the low likelihood that the Democratic nominee can overcome its established Republican advantage before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,478Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Texas’s 38th congressional district continues to anchor trader consensus around an eventual GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. An open seat after Wesley Hunt’s decision to run for Senate has drawn a crowded Republican primary field, but Jon Bonck’s strong March primary showing and endorsements have positioned him as the clear runoff favorite against Shelly deZevallos on May 26. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with no recent polling or events suggesting a competitive general election contest. The current pricing therefore reflects the district’s partisan voting index and the low likelihood that the Democratic nominee can overcome its established Republican advantage before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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