Morena maintains a commanding lead in polling averages for the June 2027 legislative election to fill all 500 seats in Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained voter support for the ruling coalition following its 2024 supermajority. Recent internal consolidation, including the May 2026 appointment of Ariadna Montiel as party president, has reinforced organizational discipline ahead of candidate selection. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PAN, PRI, and smaller groups polling in the low teens amid criticism of proposed electoral reforms that could further consolidate Morena’s institutional advantages. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to Morena capturing the most seats, while viewing the remaining parties as competitive but distant challengers in a first-past-the-post system.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMorena 74%
PRI 24%
PAN 21%
PVEM 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
21%
PRI
24%
PT
20%
PVEM
21%
MC
17%
Morena
74%
Morena 74%
PRI 24%
PAN 21%
PVEM 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$0 KL.
21%
PRI
$0 KL.
24%
PT
$0 KL.
20%
PVEM
$0 KL.
21%
MC
$0 KL.
17%
Morena
$7 KL.
74%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in polling averages for the June 2027 legislative election to fill all 500 seats in Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained voter support for the ruling coalition following its 2024 supermajority. Recent internal consolidation, including the May 2026 appointment of Ariadna Montiel as party president, has reinforced organizational discipline ahead of candidate selection. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PAN, PRI, and smaller groups polling in the low teens amid criticism of proposed electoral reforms that could further consolidate Morena’s institutional advantages. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to Morena capturing the most seats, while viewing the remaining parties as competitive but distant challengers in a first-past-the-post system.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in polling averages for the June 2027 legislative election to fill all 500 seats in Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained voter support for the ruling coalition following its 2024 supermajority. Recent internal consolidation, including the May 2026 appointment of Ariadna Montiel as party president, has reinforced organizational discipline ahead of candidate selection. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PAN, PRI, and smaller groups polling in the low teens amid criticism of proposed electoral reforms that could further consolidate Morena’s institutional advantages. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to Morena capturing the most seats, while viewing the remaining parties as competitive but distant challengers in a first-past-the-post system.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Khối lượng
$7Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in polling averages for the June 2027 legislative election to fill all 500 seats in Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained voter support for the ruling coalition following its 2024 supermajority. Recent internal consolidation, including the May 2026 appointment of Ariadna Montiel as party president, has reinforced organizational discipline ahead of candidate selection. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PAN, PRI, and smaller groups polling in the low teens amid criticism of proposed electoral reforms that could further consolidate Morena’s institutional advantages. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to Morena capturing the most seats, while viewing the remaining parties as competitive but distant challengers in a first-past-the-post system.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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