The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 32nd Congressional District, enacted through 2025 mid-decade redistricting, shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to a Republican advantage with an R+8 partisan voting index. This structural change positioned the open seat as a likely GOP pickup after incumbent Julie Johnson moved to the neighboring 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump and Governor Abbott, advanced from the March 2026 primary and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios in the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's new electoral math and limited Democratic path to victory absent major national shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$26,076 KL.
$26,076 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
21%
$26,076 KL.
$26,076 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,719 KL.
72%
Democratic Party
$357 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 32nd Congressional District, enacted through 2025 mid-decade redistricting, shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to a Republican advantage with an R+8 partisan voting index. This structural change positioned the open seat as a likely GOP pickup after incumbent Julie Johnson moved to the neighboring 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump and Governor Abbott, advanced from the March 2026 primary and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios in the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's new electoral math and limited Democratic path to victory absent major national shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,076Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 32nd Congressional District, enacted through 2025 mid-decade redistricting, shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to a Republican advantage with an R+8 partisan voting index. This structural change positioned the open seat as a likely GOP pickup after incumbent Julie Johnson moved to the neighboring 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump and Governor Abbott, advanced from the March 2026 primary and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios in the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's new electoral math and limited Democratic path to victory absent major national shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,076Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn boundaries of Texas's 32nd Congressional District, enacted through 2025 mid-decade redistricting, shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to a Republican advantage with an R+8 partisan voting index. This structural change positioned the open seat as a likely GOP pickup after incumbent Julie Johnson moved to the neighboring 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump and Governor Abbott, advanced from the March 2026 primary and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios in the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's new electoral math and limited Democratic path to victory absent major national shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp