The solidly Republican composition of Texas's 13th congressional district, rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's 91.5 percent consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. Historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure in the Panhandle region, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data for the challenger reinforce traders' assessment of the outcome. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan tilt.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$11,276 KL.
$11,276 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,276 KL.
$11,276 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,414 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$9,862 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican composition of Texas's 13th congressional district, rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's 91.5 percent consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. Historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure in the Panhandle region, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data for the challenger reinforce traders' assessment of the outcome. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,276Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican composition of Texas's 13th congressional district, rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's 91.5 percent consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. Historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure in the Panhandle region, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data for the challenger reinforce traders' assessment of the outcome. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,276Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican composition of Texas's 13th congressional district, rated R+24 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the market's 91.5 percent consensus for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. Historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure in the Panhandle region, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data for the challenger reinforce traders' assessment of the outcome. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this level of partisan tilt.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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