**Strong presales and star-driven buzz for Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson’s buddy action comedy have positioned the 6 million-plus outcome as the clear market leader at 74% implied probability.** Released September 11 by Angel Studios in a relatively open post-summer frame, the PG-13 thriller about a medical delivery gone wrong benefits from the studio’s proven audience-first model and the leads’ broad appeal. Mixed early reviews (mid-50s to low-70s on major aggregators) and roughly 2,000-theater tracking around $5 million create some tension with the heavier weighting toward 6 million-plus, yet trader consensus appears anchored in genre momentum and limited direct competition. The 5-6 million range holds secondary support at 23%, while sub-5 million outcomes remain low-probability tail risks. Final domestic numbers for the September 11-13 weekend will resolve the market shortly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office
6m+ 62%
5-6m 24%
<3m 4.6%
4-5m 4.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<3m
5%
3-4m
<1%
4-5m
5%
5-6m
24%
6m+
74%
6m+ 62%
5-6m 24%
<3m 4.6%
4-5m 4.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<3m
$2,233 KL.
5%
3-4m
$2,055 KL.
<1%
4-5m
$419 KL.
5%
5-6m
$1,329 KL.
24%
6m+
$1,176 KL.
74%
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong presales and star-driven buzz for Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson’s buddy action comedy have positioned the 6 million-plus outcome as the clear market leader at 74% implied probability.** Released September 11 by Angel Studios in a relatively open post-summer frame, the PG-13 thriller about a medical delivery gone wrong benefits from the studio’s proven audience-first model and the leads’ broad appeal. Mixed early reviews (mid-50s to low-70s on major aggregators) and roughly 2,000-theater tracking around $5 million create some tension with the heavier weighting toward 6 million-plus, yet trader consensus appears anchored in genre momentum and limited direct competition. The 5-6 million range holds secondary support at 23%, while sub-5 million outcomes remain low-probability tail risks. Final domestic numbers for the September 11-13 weekend will resolve the market shortly.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,212Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong presales and star-driven buzz for Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson’s buddy action comedy have positioned the 6 million-plus outcome as the clear market leader at 74% implied probability.** Released September 11 by Angel Studios in a relatively open post-summer frame, the PG-13 thriller about a medical delivery gone wrong benefits from the studio’s proven audience-first model and the leads’ broad appeal. Mixed early reviews (mid-50s to low-70s on major aggregators) and roughly 2,000-theater tracking around $5 million create some tension with the heavier weighting toward 6 million-plus, yet trader consensus appears anchored in genre momentum and limited direct competition. The 5-6 million range holds secondary support at 23%, while sub-5 million outcomes remain low-probability tail risks. Final domestic numbers for the September 11-13 weekend will resolve the market shortly.
This market will resolve according to how much "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$7,212Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Strong presales and star-driven buzz for Alan Ritchson and Owen Wilson’s buddy action comedy have positioned the 6 million-plus outcome as the clear market leader at 74% implied probability.** Released September 11 by Angel Studios in a relatively open post-summer frame, the PG-13 thriller about a medical delivery gone wrong benefits from the studio’s proven audience-first model and the leads’ broad appeal. Mixed early reviews (mid-50s to low-70s on major aggregators) and roughly 2,000-theater tracking around $5 million create some tension with the heavier weighting toward 6 million-plus, yet trader consensus appears anchored in genre momentum and limited direct competition. The 5-6 million range holds secondary support at 23%, while sub-5 million outcomes remain low-probability tail risks. Final domestic numbers for the September 11-13 weekend will resolve the market shortly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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