Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Christopher Nolan 54%
Denis Villeneuve 21%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller 8.1%
Jordan Firstman 7.7%
$13,142 KL.
$13,142 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Christopher Nolan
54%
Denis Villeneuve
21%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller
8%
Jordan Firstman
8%
Martin McDonagh
7%
Aaron Sorkin
5%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
5%
Peter Farrelly
8%
Steven Spielberg
2%
Jesse Eisenberg
8%
Lance Oppenheim
7%
Olivia Wilde
1%
Bassam Tariq
<1%
David O. Russell
7%
Christopher Nolan 54%
Denis Villeneuve 21%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller 8.1%
Jordan Firstman 7.7%
$13,142 KL.
$13,142 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Christopher Nolan
$8,343 KL.
54%
Denis Villeneuve
$783 KL.
21%
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller
$192 KL.
8%
Jordan Firstman
$148 KL.
8%
Martin McDonagh
$278 KL.
7%
Aaron Sorkin
$154 KL.
5%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
$1,494 KL.
5%
Peter Farrelly
$158 KL.
8%
Steven Spielberg
$208 KL.
2%
Jesse Eisenberg
$198 KL.
8%
Lance Oppenheim
$673 KL.
7%
Olivia Wilde
$215 KL.
1%
Bassam Tariq
$158 KL.
<1%
David O. Russell
$139 KL.
7%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,142Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$13,142Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release of “The Odyssey,” an IMAX-shot epic that opened to strong reviews and substantial box office following his “Oppenheimer” win, anchors trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for the 2027 Best Director Oscar. The competitive field remains wide open this early, with many names clustered near even odds reflecting limited confirmed 2026 campaigns and the Academy’s historical reluctance to award repeat directing wins quickly. Denis Villeneuve sits lower at 20.5% as “Dune: Part Three” heads into a December release, while projects from Martin McDonagh, Jesse Eisenberg, and others offer swing potential through guild precursors and critical reception once fall festivals and year-end reviews arrive. Late momentum shifts remain common in this category.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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