Montana’s 1st congressional district remains a closely contested open seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Republican nominee Aaron Flint holding a narrow edge over Democratic nominee Sam Forstag in trader pricing. Both candidates emerged from June 2 primaries that featured competitive intraparty fields, leaving limited time for general-election dynamics to develop. The district’s R+5 partisan lean and history of narrow Republican margins in recent cycles keep the race tight, as Democratic performance in western Montana counties can offset the statewide tilt. Pre-primary polling showed single-digit gaps in head-to-head matchups, and the absence of an incumbent amplifies the impact of candidate messaging on issues such as public lands and economic policy. Any shift in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could alter the balance before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
47%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 KL.
51%
Democratic Party
$400 KL.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district remains a closely contested open seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Republican nominee Aaron Flint holding a narrow edge over Democratic nominee Sam Forstag in trader pricing. Both candidates emerged from June 2 primaries that featured competitive intraparty fields, leaving limited time for general-election dynamics to develop. The district’s R+5 partisan lean and history of narrow Republican margins in recent cycles keep the race tight, as Democratic performance in western Montana counties can offset the statewide tilt. Pre-primary polling showed single-digit gaps in head-to-head matchups, and the absence of an incumbent amplifies the impact of candidate messaging on issues such as public lands and economic policy. Any shift in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could alter the balance before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,410Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st congressional district remains a closely contested open seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Republican nominee Aaron Flint holding a narrow edge over Democratic nominee Sam Forstag in trader pricing. Both candidates emerged from June 2 primaries that featured competitive intraparty fields, leaving limited time for general-election dynamics to develop. The district’s R+5 partisan lean and history of narrow Republican margins in recent cycles keep the race tight, as Democratic performance in western Montana counties can offset the statewide tilt. Pre-primary polling showed single-digit gaps in head-to-head matchups, and the absence of an incumbent amplifies the impact of candidate messaging on issues such as public lands and economic policy. Any shift in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could alter the balance before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,410Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 1st congressional district remains a closely contested open seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Republican nominee Aaron Flint holding a narrow edge over Democratic nominee Sam Forstag in trader pricing. Both candidates emerged from June 2 primaries that featured competitive intraparty fields, leaving limited time for general-election dynamics to develop. The district’s R+5 partisan lean and history of narrow Republican margins in recent cycles keep the race tight, as Democratic performance in western Montana counties can offset the statewide tilt. Pre-primary polling showed single-digit gaps in head-to-head matchups, and the absence of an incumbent amplifies the impact of candidate messaging on issues such as public lands and economic policy. Any shift in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could alter the balance before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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