The open seat in Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning district, with a partisan voting index around R+13 and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 63-36 Trump victory in 2024. Sam Graves's retirement after more than two decades has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, but the district's rural and suburban composition has sustained the party's structural advantage. Democratic primary contenders face the same headwinds that produced minimal opposition success historically. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects this baseline, though shifts could occur from an unusually large national Democratic wave, primary nominee controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$29,858 KL.
$29,858 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$29,858 KL.
$29,858 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$23,619 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$6,239 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning district, with a partisan voting index around R+13 and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 63-36 Trump victory in 2024. Sam Graves's retirement after more than two decades has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, but the district's rural and suburban composition has sustained the party's structural advantage. Democratic primary contenders face the same headwinds that produced minimal opposition success historically. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects this baseline, though shifts could occur from an unusually large national Democratic wave, primary nominee controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,858Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning district, with a partisan voting index around R+13 and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 63-36 Trump victory in 2024. Sam Graves's retirement after more than two decades has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, but the district's rural and suburban composition has sustained the party's structural advantage. Democratic primary contenders face the same headwinds that produced minimal opposition success historically. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects this baseline, though shifts could occur from an unusually large national Democratic wave, primary nominee controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$29,858Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican-leaning district, with a partisan voting index around R+13 and consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including a 63-36 Trump victory in 2024. Sam Graves's retirement after more than two decades has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 4 contest, but the district's rural and suburban composition has sustained the party's structural advantage. Democratic primary contenders face the same headwinds that produced minimal opposition success historically. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican reflects this baseline, though shifts could occur from an unusually large national Democratic wave, primary nominee controversies, or unusually high turnout differentials in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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