Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Long-time incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, creating an open seat with an August 4 Republican primary featuring multiple contenders. The district’s rural northern Missouri footprint and R+13 partisan voting index have produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates face the same structural disadvantages, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable path to victory. A late Republican primary upset or major scandal could narrow the margin, yet the underlying electoral math continues to anchor high implied probability for the GOP nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$30,895 KL.
$30,895 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$30,895 KL.
$30,895 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,656 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$6,239 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Long-time incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, creating an open seat with an August 4 Republican primary featuring multiple contenders. The district’s rural northern Missouri footprint and R+13 partisan voting index have produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates face the same structural disadvantages, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable path to victory. A late Republican primary upset or major scandal could narrow the margin, yet the underlying electoral math continues to anchor high implied probability for the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,895Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Long-time incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, creating an open seat with an August 4 Republican primary featuring multiple contenders. The district’s rural northern Missouri footprint and R+13 partisan voting index have produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates face the same structural disadvantages, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable path to victory. A late Republican primary upset or major scandal could narrow the margin, yet the underlying electoral math continues to anchor high implied probability for the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,895Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Long-time incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, creating an open seat with an August 4 Republican primary featuring multiple contenders. The district’s rural northern Missouri footprint and R+13 partisan voting index have produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates face the same structural disadvantages, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable path to victory. A late Republican primary upset or major scandal could narrow the margin, yet the underlying electoral math continues to anchor high implied probability for the GOP nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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