Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls have repeatedly stalled voter and candidate registration since April 2026, while Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions preclude an August 30 first round. These factors keep the probability of further postponement near even, offset by the transitional government's revised electoral decree, record party registrations, and stated target of completing voting by December 2026 to seat officials by February 2027. Upcoming security training programs and any progress on funding or gang containment could stabilize the timeline, whereas intensified violence or additional decree disputes would likely push probabilities toward additional delays.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls have repeatedly stalled voter and candidate registration since April 2026, while Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions preclude an August 30 first round. These factors keep the probability of further postponement near even, offset by the transitional government's revised electoral decree, record party registrations, and stated target of completing voting by December 2026 to seat officials by February 2027. Upcoming security training programs and any progress on funding or gang containment could stabilize the timeline, whereas intensified violence or additional decree disputes would likely push probabilities toward additional delays.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp