European institutions and member states continue to advance deeper integration through initiatives like the April 2026 "One Europe, One Market" roadmap targeting completion by the end of 2027, alongside ongoing enlargement negotiations with candidates including Ukraine and Montenegro. These developments, combined with the absence of coordinated withdrawal movements or structural reform proposals aimed at dissolution, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability assigned to the "No" outcome. Economic forecasts through 2026 project modest growth and resilience amid geopolitical pressures, further supporting institutional continuity. Realistic shifts could arise from prolonged fiscal crises in multiple large member states or unprecedented treaty renegotiations, though no such triggers have materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?
$167,296 KL.
$167,296 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$167,296 KL.
$167,296 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European institutions and member states continue to advance deeper integration through initiatives like the April 2026 "One Europe, One Market" roadmap targeting completion by the end of 2027, alongside ongoing enlargement negotiations with candidates including Ukraine and Montenegro. These developments, combined with the absence of coordinated withdrawal movements or structural reform proposals aimed at dissolution, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability assigned to the "No" outcome. Economic forecasts through 2026 project modest growth and resilience amid geopolitical pressures, further supporting institutional continuity. Realistic shifts could arise from prolonged fiscal crises in multiple large member states or unprecedented treaty renegotiations, though no such triggers have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$167,296Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European institutions and member states continue to advance deeper integration through initiatives like the April 2026 "One Europe, One Market" roadmap targeting completion by the end of 2027, alongside ongoing enlargement negotiations with candidates including Ukraine and Montenegro. These developments, combined with the absence of coordinated withdrawal movements or structural reform proposals aimed at dissolution, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability assigned to the "No" outcome. Economic forecasts through 2026 project modest growth and resilience amid geopolitical pressures, further supporting institutional continuity. Realistic shifts could arise from prolonged fiscal crises in multiple large member states or unprecedented treaty renegotiations, though no such triggers have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$167,296Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European institutions and member states continue to advance deeper integration through initiatives like the April 2026 "One Europe, One Market" roadmap targeting completion by the end of 2027, alongside ongoing enlargement negotiations with candidates including Ukraine and Montenegro. These developments, combined with the absence of coordinated withdrawal movements or structural reform proposals aimed at dissolution, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability assigned to the "No" outcome. Economic forecasts through 2026 project modest growth and resilience amid geopolitical pressures, further supporting institutional continuity. Realistic shifts could arise from prolonged fiscal crises in multiple large member states or unprecedented treaty renegotiations, though no such triggers have materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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