Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 84.5%
200–250 tỷ 2.1%
125–150 tỷ 1.3%
<100 tỷ <1%
$403,994 KL.
$403,994 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 tỷ
<1%
100–125 tỷ
<1%
125–150 tỷ
1%
150–175 tỷ
<1%
175–200 tỷ
<1%
200–250 tỷ
2%
250 tỷ đô la+
<1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
84%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 84.5%
200–250 tỷ 2.1%
125–150 tỷ 1.3%
<100 tỷ <1%
$403,994 KL.
$403,994 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 tỷ
$33,240 KL.
<1%
100–125 tỷ
$62,203 KL.
<1%
125–150 tỷ
$26,692 KL.
1%
150–175 tỷ
$59,896 KL.
<1%
175–200 tỷ
$58,153 KL.
<1%
200–250 tỷ
$21,122 KL.
2%
250 tỷ đô la+
$126,215 KL.
<1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
$16,474 KL.
84%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$403,994Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$403,994Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 83% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, following a massive $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation—up 34% from prior rounds. This capital influx, plus $1.8 billion in debt, enables sustained investment in AI-driven data lakehouse expansions like the Genie assistant and high-growth workloads exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion, reducing public market urgency amid volatile tech listings. Specific market cap buckets linger below 3%, anchored to recent private pricing but tempered by execution risks; H2 2026 emerges as the next plausible window if roadshows materialize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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