Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 4 statement that the company will avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded tech slate has driven the 99.3% implied probability of no closing by June 30, 2026. With no S-1 filing completed and analysts projecting an H2 2026 or 2027 timeline following the company’s $134 billion private valuation and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate, traders see insufficient runway for a near-term public debut. The data and AI platform’s strong growth in data warehousing and large language model capabilities supports continued private funding rounds, but a last-minute regulatory acceleration or market shift could theoretically compress the schedule.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 99.3%
100–125 tỷ <1%
150–175 tỷ <1%
175–200 tỷ <1%
$506,760 KL.
$506,760 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 tỷ
<1%
100–125 tỷ
<1%
125–150 tỷ
<1%
150–175 tỷ
<1%
175–200 tỷ
<1%
200–250 tỷ
<1%
250 tỷ đô la+
<1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
99%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 99.3%
100–125 tỷ <1%
150–175 tỷ <1%
175–200 tỷ <1%
$506,760 KL.
$506,760 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 tỷ
$46,062 KL.
<1%
100–125 tỷ
$71,208 KL.
<1%
125–150 tỷ
$38,320 KL.
<1%
150–175 tỷ
$74,881 KL.
<1%
175–200 tỷ
$70,960 KL.
<1%
200–250 tỷ
$34,034 KL.
<1%
250 tỷ đô la+
$135,109 KL.
<1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
$36,185 KL.
99%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 4 statement that the company will avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded tech slate has driven the 99.3% implied probability of no closing by June 30, 2026. With no S-1 filing completed and analysts projecting an H2 2026 or 2027 timeline following the company’s $134 billion private valuation and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate, traders see insufficient runway for a near-term public debut. The data and AI platform’s strong growth in data warehousing and large language model capabilities supports continued private funding rounds, but a last-minute regulatory acceleration or market shift could theoretically compress the schedule.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$506,760Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 4 statement that the company will avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded tech slate has driven the 99.3% implied probability of no closing by June 30, 2026. With no S-1 filing completed and analysts projecting an H2 2026 or 2027 timeline following the company’s $134 billion private valuation and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate, traders see insufficient runway for a near-term public debut. The data and AI platform’s strong growth in data warehousing and large language model capabilities supports continued private funding rounds, but a last-minute regulatory acceleration or market shift could theoretically compress the schedule.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$506,760Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 4 statement that the company will avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded tech slate has driven the 99.3% implied probability of no closing by June 30, 2026. With no S-1 filing completed and analysts projecting an H2 2026 or 2027 timeline following the company’s $134 billion private valuation and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate, traders see insufficient runway for a near-term public debut. The data and AI platform’s strong growth in data warehousing and large language model capabilities supports continued private funding rounds, but a last-minute regulatory acceleration or market shift could theoretically compress the schedule.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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