With Andalusia's regional election set for May 17, recent polls including Sigma Dos for El Mundo and CIS Andaluz project the Popular Party (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno securing 54-56 seats in the 109-seat parliament, just shy or at the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positions trader consensus at 61% Yes, driven by PP's polling lead around 42-45%, Moreno's strong campaign performance in debates, and PSOE's projected historic decline to 25-30 seats amid national headwinds for PM Pedro Sánchez. Vox's rise to third place introduces risk, as higher turnout could tip seats away from PP, prompting Moreno's final push against potential coalition dependencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With Andalusia's regional election set for May 17, recent polls including Sigma Dos for El Mundo and CIS Andaluz project the Popular Party (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno securing 54-56 seats in the 109-seat parliament, just shy or at the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positions trader consensus at 61% Yes, driven by PP's polling lead around 42-45%, Moreno's strong campaign performance in debates, and PSOE's projected historic decline to 25-30 seats amid national headwinds for PM Pedro Sánchez. Vox's rise to third place introduces risk, as higher turnout could tip seats away from PP, prompting Moreno's final push against potential coalition dependencies.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,184Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With Andalusia's regional election set for May 17, recent polls including Sigma Dos for El Mundo and CIS Andaluz project the Popular Party (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno securing 54-56 seats in the 109-seat parliament, just shy or at the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positions trader consensus at 61% Yes, driven by PP's polling lead around 42-45%, Moreno's strong campaign performance in debates, and PSOE's projected historic decline to 25-30 seats amid national headwinds for PM Pedro Sánchez. Vox's rise to third place introduces risk, as higher turnout could tip seats away from PP, prompting Moreno's final push against potential coalition dependencies.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Khối lượng
$4,184Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Andalusia's regional election set for May 17, recent polls including Sigma Dos for El Mundo and CIS Andaluz project the Popular Party (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno securing 54-56 seats in the 109-seat parliament, just shy or at the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positions trader consensus at 61% Yes, driven by PP's polling lead around 42-45%, Moreno's strong campaign performance in debates, and PSOE's projected historic decline to 25-30 seats amid national headwinds for PM Pedro Sánchez. Vox's rise to third place introduces risk, as higher turnout could tip seats away from PP, prompting Moreno's final push against potential coalition dependencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp