Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

98%

No change

Hike 25 bps

$55K Обс.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

≤2.5%

14%

Yes14%No86%

4.25%

15%

Yes15%No85%

≤2.5%

14%

Yes14%No86%

$26K Обс.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 31

15%

Yes15%No85%

November 30

Yes6%No94%

December 31

15%

Yes15%No85%

November 30

Yes6%No94%

$13K Обс.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

74%

шанс

Yes

$1M Обс.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 31

November 30

December 31

November 30

$32K Обс.

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

шанс

Yes

$30K Обс.

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

June 30, 2027

10%

Yes10%No91%

December 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$50K Обс.

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No29%

1 (25 bps)

22%

Yes22%No79%

2 (50 bps)

71%

Yes71%No29%

1 (25 bps)

22%

Yes22%No79%

$1M Обс.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 31

October 31

December 31

October 31

$37K Обс.

Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?

4,25%

70%

Так.70%Ні.30%

4,0%

18%

Так.18%Ні.82%

4,25%

70%

Так.70%Ні.30%

4,0%

18%

Так.18%Ні.82%

$7M Обс.

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

шанс

Yes

НОВЕ

Jerome Powell federally charged by...? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

шанс

Yes

$320K Обс.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

10%

шанс

Yes

$470K Обс.

Скорочення ставки ФРС на...?

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No51%

April 2027 Meeting

39%

Yes39%No61%

July 2027 Meeting

Yes50%No51%

April 2027 Meeting

39%

Yes39%No61%

$4M Обс.

Що вдарить по ставці ФРС до 2027 року?

↑ 4,25%

75%

Так.75%Ні.25%

↑ 4,5%

15%

Так.15%Ні.85%

↑ 4,25%

75%

Так.75%Ні.25%

↑ 4,5%

15%

Так.15%Ні.85%

$2M Обс.

Скільки знижень ставки ФРС у 2026 році?

0 (0 б.п.)

96%

Так.96%Ні.4%

1 (25 б.п.)

Так.1%Ні.99%

0 (0 б.п.)

96%

Так.96%Ні.4%

1 (25 б.п.)

Так.1%Ні.99%

$55M Обс.

Нове

Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Скорочення ставки ФРС на...?

Що вдарить по ставці ФРС до 2027 року?

Скільки знижень ставки ФРС у 2026 році?