Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$187,361 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
15%
↑ $8,200
35%
↑ $7,800
74%
↓ $6,200
31%
↓ $5,800
21%
↓ $5,200
13%
↓ $4,500
7%
$187,361 Обс.
↑ $9,300
$3,576 Обс.
6%
↑ $8,600
$13,696 Обс.
15%
↑ $8,200
$5,748 Обс.
35%
↑ $7,800
$4,954 Обс.
74%
↓ $6,200
$28,056 Обс.
31%
↓ $5,800
$23,987 Обс.
21%
↓ $5,200
$31,597 Обс.
13%
↓ $4,500
$25,055 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$187,361Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Обсяг
$187,361Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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