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What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$7,000-$7,500 29%

$7,500-$8,000 16%

$6,000-$6,500 15%

$6,500-$7,000 15%

Polymarket

$24,819 Обс.

$7,000-$7,500 29%

$7,500-$8,000 16%

$6,000-$6,500 15%

$6,500-$7,000 15%

Polymarket

$24,819 Обс.

<$6,000

$15,521 Обс.

12%

$6,000-$6,500

$1,429 Обс.

23%

$6,500-$7,000

$2,389 Обс.

29%

$7,000-$7,500

$1,114 Обс.

27%

$7,500-$8,000

$2,074 Обс.

16%

>$8,000

$2,293 Обс.

12%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign a 29% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing the end of 2026 between $7,000-$7,500, closely trailed by 19% for $6,500-$7,000, reflecting competitive dynamics between robust earnings growth and persistent inflationary pressures. Recent Q1 2026 earnings surged nearly 28% year-over-year, prompting Wall Street targets like JPMorgan's 7,600 and UBS's 7,700, fueled by projected 12% EPS expansion to $305-$309 amid AI-driven breadth. However, March CPI at 3.3%—the highest since mid-2024—and steady 4.3% unemployment have brokerages split on Fed funds rate cuts from the current 3.64%, with some forecasting no easing into year-end. The index's climb to 7,399 from May 1 records underscores upside potential, but oil volatility and Fed caution cap aggressive bets; watch April CPI on May 12 for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$24,819
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign a 29% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing the end of 2026 between $7,000-$7,500, closely trailed by 19% for $6,500-$7,000, reflecting competitive dynamics between robust earnings growth and persistent inflationary pressures. Recent Q1 2026 earnings surged nearly 28% year-over-year, prompting Wall Street targets like JPMorgan's 7,600 and UBS's 7,700, fueled by projected 12% EPS expansion to $305-$309 amid AI-driven breadth. However, March CPI at 3.3%—the highest since mid-2024—and steady 4.3% unemployment have brokerages split on Fed funds rate cuts from the current 3.64%, with some forecasting no easing into year-end. The index's climb to 7,399 from May 1 records underscores upside potential, but oil volatility and Fed caution cap aggressive bets; watch April CPI on May 12 for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$24,819
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «$6,500-$7,000» з 29%, далі «$7,000-$7,500» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» згенерував $24.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» — «$6,500-$7,000» з 29%. Наступний — «$7,000-$7,500» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.