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What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

icon for What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

>$8,000 44%

$7,500-$8,000 23%

$7,000-$7,500 21%

$6,500-$7,000 11%

Polymarket

$43,068 Обс.

>$8,000 44%

$7,500-$8,000 23%

$7,000-$7,500 21%

$6,500-$7,000 11%

Polymarket

$43,068 Обс.

<$6,000

$22,369 Обс.

8%

$6,000-$6,500

$2,376 Обс.

8%

$6,500-$7,000

$4,628 Обс.

11%

$7,000-$7,500

$2,756 Обс.

21%

$7,500-$8,000

$4,299 Обс.

23%

>$8,000

$6,640 Обс.

44%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings momentum, led by AI-driven technology spending and broad beat rates exceeding 85% in recent quarters, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 closing above 7,500 at year-end 2026. With the index trading near 7,657 as of mid-September after August highs above 7,800, consensus analyst targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting upward EPS revisions to around $360–365 for full-year 2026. Sticky inflation, 10-year Treasury yields near 4.8%, and potential Federal Reserve policy restraint introduce downside risks, yet resilient economic data and sustained capital expenditures support the market-implied tilt toward levels above 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$43,068
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings momentum, led by AI-driven technology spending and broad beat rates exceeding 85% in recent quarters, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 closing above 7,500 at year-end 2026. With the index trading near 7,657 as of mid-September after August highs above 7,800, consensus analyst targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, reflecting upward EPS revisions to around $360–365 for full-year 2026. Sticky inflation, 10-year Treasury yields near 4.8%, and potential Federal Reserve policy restraint introduce downside risks, yet resilient economic data and sustained capital expenditures support the market-implied tilt toward levels above 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$43,068
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «>$8,000» з 44%, далі «$7,500-$8,000» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» згенерував $43.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» — «>$8,000» з 44%. Наступний — «$7,500-$8,000» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.