Polymarket traders assign a 29% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing the end of 2026 between $7,000-$7,500, closely trailed by 19% for $6,500-$7,000, reflecting competitive dynamics between robust earnings growth and persistent inflationary pressures. Recent Q1 2026 earnings surged nearly 28% year-over-year, prompting Wall Street targets like JPMorgan's 7,600 and UBS's 7,700, fueled by projected 12% EPS expansion to $305-$309 amid AI-driven breadth. However, March CPI at 3.3%—the highest since mid-2024—and steady 4.3% unemployment have brokerages split on Fed funds rate cuts from the current 3.64%, with some forecasting no easing into year-end. The index's climb to 7,399 from May 1 records underscores upside potential, but oil volatility and Fed caution cap aggressive bets; watch April CPI on May 12 for sentiment shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$7,500-$8,000 16%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$6,500-$7,000 15%
$24,819 Обс.
$24,819 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
12%
$6,000-$6,500
23%
$6,500-$7,000
29%
$7,000-$7,500
27%
$7,500-$8,000
16%
>$8,000
12%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$7,500-$8,000 16%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$6,500-$7,000 15%
$24,819 Обс.
$24,819 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$15,521 Обс.
12%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,429 Обс.
23%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,389 Обс.
29%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 Обс.
27%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,074 Обс.
16%
>$8,000
$2,293 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign a 29% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing the end of 2026 between $7,000-$7,500, closely trailed by 19% for $6,500-$7,000, reflecting competitive dynamics between robust earnings growth and persistent inflationary pressures. Recent Q1 2026 earnings surged nearly 28% year-over-year, prompting Wall Street targets like JPMorgan's 7,600 and UBS's 7,700, fueled by projected 12% EPS expansion to $305-$309 amid AI-driven breadth. However, March CPI at 3.3%—the highest since mid-2024—and steady 4.3% unemployment have brokerages split on Fed funds rate cuts from the current 3.64%, with some forecasting no easing into year-end. The index's climb to 7,399 from May 1 records underscores upside potential, but oil volatility and Fed caution cap aggressive bets; watch April CPI on May 12 for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,819Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign a 29% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing the end of 2026 between $7,000-$7,500, closely trailed by 19% for $6,500-$7,000, reflecting competitive dynamics between robust earnings growth and persistent inflationary pressures. Recent Q1 2026 earnings surged nearly 28% year-over-year, prompting Wall Street targets like JPMorgan's 7,600 and UBS's 7,700, fueled by projected 12% EPS expansion to $305-$309 amid AI-driven breadth. However, March CPI at 3.3%—the highest since mid-2024—and steady 4.3% unemployment have brokerages split on Fed funds rate cuts from the current 3.64%, with some forecasting no easing into year-end. The index's climb to 7,399 from May 1 records underscores upside potential, but oil volatility and Fed caution cap aggressive bets; watch April CPI on May 12 for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Обсяг
$24,819Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 29% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing the end of 2026 between $7,000-$7,500, closely trailed by 19% for $6,500-$7,000, reflecting competitive dynamics between robust earnings growth and persistent inflationary pressures. Recent Q1 2026 earnings surged nearly 28% year-over-year, prompting Wall Street targets like JPMorgan's 7,600 and UBS's 7,700, fueled by projected 12% EPS expansion to $305-$309 amid AI-driven breadth. However, March CPI at 3.3%—the highest since mid-2024—and steady 4.3% unemployment have brokerages split on Fed funds rate cuts from the current 3.64%, with some forecasting no easing into year-end. The index's climb to 7,399 from May 1 records underscores upside potential, but oil volatility and Fed caution cap aggressive bets; watch April CPI on May 12 for sentiment shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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