Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: May" market prices "Nothing" at 88.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 15, 2026—including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomatic efforts, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil prices remaining well below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US confirmation of aliens, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent Trump-Xi summit discussions (May 12-15) on Iran tensions, Ukraine, and Middle East stability produced no breakthroughs or escalations, with Russian forces confined to Ukraine. With 16 days remaining until May 31 resolution, the wisdom of crowds anticipates continued stability barring unforeseen tail risks like sudden oil spikes or geopolitical shocks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing
$84,908 Обс.
$84,908 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Nothing
$84,908 Обс.
$84,908 Обс.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: May" market prices "Nothing" at 88.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 15, 2026—including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomatic efforts, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil prices remaining well below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US confirmation of aliens, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent Trump-Xi summit discussions (May 12-15) on Iran tensions, Ukraine, and Middle East stability produced no breakthroughs or escalations, with Russian forces confined to Ukraine. With 16 days remaining until May 31 resolution, the wisdom of crowds anticipates continued stability barring unforeseen tail risks like sudden oil spikes or geopolitical shocks.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$84,908Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: May" market prices "Nothing" at 88.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 15, 2026—including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomatic efforts, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil prices remaining well below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US confirmation of aliens, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent Trump-Xi summit discussions (May 12-15) on Iran tensions, Ukraine, and Middle East stability produced no breakthroughs or escalations, with Russian forces confined to Ukraine. With 16 days remaining until May 31 resolution, the wisdom of crowds anticipates continued stability barring unforeseen tail risks like sudden oil spikes or geopolitical shocks.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Обсяг
$84,910Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: May" market prices "Nothing" at 88.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 15, 2026—including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomatic efforts, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil prices remaining well below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US confirmation of aliens, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent Trump-Xi summit discussions (May 12-15) on Iran tensions, Ukraine, and Middle East stability produced no breakthroughs or escalations, with Russian forces confined to Ukraine. With 16 days remaining until May 31 resolution, the wisdom of crowds anticipates continued stability barring unforeseen tail risks like sudden oil spikes or geopolitical shocks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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