Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, yet the race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates have drawn limited attention and fundraising. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a broader national environment that dramatically improves Republican prospects in suburban and urban portions of the district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$24,316 Обс.
$24,316 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$24,316 Обс.
$24,316 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,544 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$6,822 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, yet the race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates have drawn limited attention and fundraising. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a broader national environment that dramatically improves Republican prospects in suburban and urban portions of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,316Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, yet the race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates have drawn limited attention and fundraising. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a broader national environment that dramatically improves Republican prospects in suburban and urban portions of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,316Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+12 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, yet the race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican primary candidates have drawn limited attention and fundraising. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a broader national environment that dramatically improves Republican prospects in suburban and urban portions of the district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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