US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, after which they were transferred to federal custody in New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges. Both have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set and pretrial hearings ongoing. Maduro’s defense has moved to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026, while also challenging the legality of the capture itself. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and potential for dismissal or acquittal, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time. If the case advances to conviction, the charges carry potential life sentences, supporting the secondary probability on longer terms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧас в 'язниці Мадуро?
Час в 'язниці Мадуро?
Без тюремного ув'язнення 62%
60+ 23%
<20 9.0%
40–60 1.0%
$739,644 Обс.
$739,644 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
62%
<20
9%
20–40
1%
40–60
1%
60+
23%
Без тюремного ув'язнення 62%
60+ 23%
<20 9.0%
40–60 1.0%
$739,644 Обс.
$739,644 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
$446,115 Обс.
62%
<20
$113,344 Обс.
9%
20–40
$60,579 Обс.
1%
40–60
$27,866 Обс.
1%
60+
$91,740 Обс.
23%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, after which they were transferred to federal custody in New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges. Both have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set and pretrial hearings ongoing. Maduro’s defense has moved to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026, while also challenging the legality of the capture itself. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and potential for dismissal or acquittal, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time. If the case advances to conviction, the charges carry potential life sentences, supporting the secondary probability on longer terms.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$739,644Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, after which they were transferred to federal custody in New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges. Both have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set and pretrial hearings ongoing. Maduro’s defense has moved to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026, while also challenging the legality of the capture itself. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and potential for dismissal or acquittal, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time. If the case advances to conviction, the charges carry potential life sentences, supporting the secondary probability on longer terms.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$739,644Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, after which they were transferred to federal custody in New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges. Both have pleaded not guilty, with a June 2027 trial date set and pretrial hearings ongoing. Maduro’s defense has moved to dismiss the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 2026, while also challenging the legality of the capture itself. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline before any verdict and potential for dismissal or acquittal, underpin trader consensus favoring no prison time. If the case advances to conviction, the charges carry potential life sentences, supporting the secondary probability on longer terms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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