Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47% and Elmano at 32%. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior service as Ceará governor in the 1990s, his national profile from presidential campaigns, and his decision to enter the race after declining other opportunities. Traders appear to weigh these factors against Elmano’s reelection bid as the Workers’ Party incumbent, while lower-priced options such as Camilo Santana and Capitão Wagner remain limited by weaker survey support and narrower bases of organized backing ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 73%
Elmano de Freitas 23%
Camilo Santana 4.3%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$56,339 Обс.
$56,339 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
73%
Elmano de Freitas
23%
Camilo Santana
4%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 73%
Elmano de Freitas 23%
Camilo Santana 4.3%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$56,339 Обс.
$56,339 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$37,028 Обс.
73%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,408 Обс.
23%
Camilo Santana
$3,323 Обс.
4%
Capitão Wagner
$4,372 Обс.
<1%
Eduardo Girão
$3,190 Обс.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,018 Обс.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47% and Elmano at 32%. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior service as Ceará governor in the 1990s, his national profile from presidential campaigns, and his decision to enter the race after declining other opportunities. Traders appear to weigh these factors against Elmano’s reelection bid as the Workers’ Party incumbent, while lower-priced options such as Camilo Santana and Capitão Wagner remain limited by weaker survey support and narrower bases of organized backing ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$56,339Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47% and Elmano at 32%. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior service as Ceará governor in the 1990s, his national profile from presidential campaigns, and his decision to enter the race after declining other opportunities. Traders appear to weigh these factors against Elmano’s reelection bid as the Workers’ Party incumbent, while lower-priced options such as Camilo Santana and Capitão Wagner remain limited by weaker survey support and narrower bases of organized backing ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$56,339Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47% and Elmano at 32%. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior service as Ceará governor in the 1990s, his national profile from presidential campaigns, and his decision to enter the race after declining other opportunities. Traders appear to weigh these factors against Elmano’s reelection bid as the Workers’ Party incumbent, while lower-priced options such as Camilo Santana and Capitão Wagner remain limited by weaker survey support and narrower bases of organized backing ahead of the first-round vote and potential runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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