Skip to main content
icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Політика·Первинні

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Політика·Первинні

CA-48 Primary Winners

НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$3,158 Обс.

Polymarket

Jim Desmond

$180 Обс.

94%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$551 Обс.

62%

Marni von Wilpert

$287 Обс.

31%

Brandon Riker

$475 Обс.

19%

Abel Chavez

$143 Обс.

7%

Mike Schaefer

$41 Обс.

6%

Corinna Contreras

$183 Обс.

6%

Kevin O'Neil

$265 Обс.

4%

Luis Reyna

$249 Обс.

3%

Ferguson Porter

$281 Обс.

2%

Stephen Clemons

$158 Обс.

2%

Eric Shaw

$344 Обс.

2%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March amid redistricting under Proposition 50, shifting boundaries toward San Diego and Riverside counties to create a competitive battleground. A late-April Tulchin Research poll of likely voters shows Republican Jim Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with Democrats' crowded field—over 10 candidates—splitting their vote and boosting Republican chances for both top-two spots. High undecideds (around 25%) and recent Democratic infighting, alongside strong GOP fundraising, shape trader consensus on a fragmented race; early voting begins soon, with national midterm dynamics adding volatility.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,158
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March amid redistricting under Proposition 50, shifting boundaries toward San Diego and Riverside counties to create a competitive battleground. A late-April Tulchin Research poll of likely voters shows Republican Jim Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with Democrats' crowded field—over 10 candidates—splitting their vote and boosting Republican chances for both top-two spots. High undecideds (around 25%) and recent Democratic infighting, alongside strong GOP fundraising, shape trader consensus on a fragmented race; early voting begins soon, with national midterm dynamics adding volatility.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,158
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jim Desmond» з 94%, далі «Ammar Campa-Najjar» з 62%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-48 Primary Winners», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-48 Primary Winners» — «Jim Desmond» з 94%. Наступний — «Ammar Campa-Najjar» з 62%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-48 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.