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Політика·Первинні

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Політика·Первинні

CA-48 Primary Winners

$7,121 Обс.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$7,121 Обс.

Polymarket

Marni von Wilpert

$875 Обс.

94%

Jim Desmond

$1,585 Обс.

98%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$1,075 Обс.

50%

Corinna Contreras

$263 Обс.

20%

Mike Schaefer

$136 Обс.

6%

Brandon Riker

$674 Обс.

9%

Kevin O'Neil

$960 Обс.

3%

Abel Chavez

$337 Обс.

2%

Stephen Clemons

$173 Обс.

1%

Eric Shaw

$433 Обс.

1%

Luis Reyna

$299 Обс.

1%

Ferguson Porter

$312 Обс.

8%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, featured a top-two format after redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the San Diego-area seat toward greater competitiveness, prompting Republican incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement. County Supervisor Jim Desmond secured Republican backing and led with strong support, while San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert topped Democratic contenders ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar and others. These results position Desmond and von Wilpert for the November general election, where factors such as voter turnout in the newly configured district and national midterm dynamics could influence outcomes.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,121
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, featured a top-two format after redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the San Diego-area seat toward greater competitiveness, prompting Republican incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement. County Supervisor Jim Desmond secured Republican backing and led with strong support, while San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert topped Democratic contenders ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar and others. These results position Desmond and von Wilpert for the November general election, where factors such as voter turnout in the newly configured district and national midterm dynamics could influence outcomes.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,121
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jim Desmond» з 98%, далі «Marni von Wilpert» з 94%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-48 Primary Winners», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-48 Primary Winners» — «Jim Desmond» з 98%. Наступний — «Marni von Wilpert» з 94%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-48 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.