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Політика·первинні вибори

CA-22 Primary Winners

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Політика·первинні вибори

CA-22 Primary Winners

НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$970 Обс.

Polymarket

David Valadao

$334 Обс.

96%

Chris Mathys

$0 Обс.

31%

Rudy Salas

$327 Обс.

7%

Randy Villegas

$231 Обс.

68%

Jasmeet Bains

$78 Обс.

54%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates trader consensus at near-certainty to advance from California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting his proven resilience in this competitive Central Valley battleground, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding peers and a pragmatic record, including cross-aisle votes like extending ACA subsidies in January. Among Democrats, school board trustee Randy Villegas holds a slim edge over Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains for the second spot, driven by grassroots momentum amid a divided party—establishment backers for Bains, progressives for Villegas—highlighted by recent door-knocking canvasses and Villegas' calls for a May 6 debate that Bains has reportedly sidestepped. Post-Prop 50 redistricting finalized candidate fields in late March, with no public polling yet; turnout in Latino-heavy areas and Dem consolidation could tip the balance ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$970
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates trader consensus at near-certainty to advance from California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting his proven resilience in this competitive Central Valley battleground, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding peers and a pragmatic record, including cross-aisle votes like extending ACA subsidies in January. Among Democrats, school board trustee Randy Villegas holds a slim edge over Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains for the second spot, driven by grassroots momentum amid a divided party—establishment backers for Bains, progressives for Villegas—highlighted by recent door-knocking canvasses and Villegas' calls for a May 6 debate that Bains has reportedly sidestepped. Post-Prop 50 redistricting finalized candidate fields in late March, with no public polling yet; turnout in Latino-heavy areas and Dem consolidation could tip the balance ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$970
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-22 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «David Valadao» з 96%, далі «Randy Villegas» з 68%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-22 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Dec 11, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-22 Primary Winners», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-22 Primary Winners» — «David Valadao» з 96%. Наступний — «Randy Villegas» з 68%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-22 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.