The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.8% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$478,175 Обс.
$478,175 Обс.
May 12, 2026
≤3.1%
No
3.2%
No
3.3%
No
3.4%
No
3.5%
No
3.6%
No
3.7%
No
3.8%
Yes
3.9%
No
4.0%
No
≥4.1%
No
3.8% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3.2% <1%
3.3% <1%
$478,175 Обс.
$478,175 Обс.
May 12, 2026
≤3.1%
$43,621 Обс.
No
3.2%
$17,835 Обс.
No
3.3%
$29,048 Обс.
No
3.4%
$22,577 Обс.
No
3.5%
$40,575 Обс.
No
3.6%
$49,624 Обс.
No
3.7%
$63,748 Обс.
No
3.8%
$82,956 Обс.
Yes
3.9%
$63,119 Обс.
No
4.0%
$30,990 Обс.
No
≥4.1%
$34,083 Обс.
No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$478,175Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$478,175Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 Consumer Price Index data on May 12, confirming year-over-year inflation at 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March and the highest since May 2023, driven primarily by surging energy prices and persistent shelter costs. This official figure has locked in Polymarket's trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 3.8% outcome, reflecting aggregated capital bets aligned with the definitive BLS print amid $425K in volume. Core CPI rose 2.8% annually, easing slightly to 2.9% prior. Rare post-release revisions could theoretically challenge this positioning, though historical base rates show minimal adjustments; traders now eye May CPI on June 10 for Federal Reserve policy signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання