Trader sentiment reflects strong conviction at 90.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Apple's unwavering annual iPhone release cadence since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro production ramp-up, including a variable aperture camera now entering mass production and new colors like Dark Cherry and Light Blue. Credible reports from MacRumors and Bloomberg indicate the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September 2026 alongside a foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 may slip to spring 2027 in Apple's emerging staggered rollout strategy. While historical precedent dominates, realistic challenges like global chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or further lineup shifts could delay the core Pro models, though traders see minimal risk given ongoing hardware progress.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiApple, 2026 'da iPhone 18' i piyasaya sürecek mi?
Apple, 2026 'da iPhone 18' i piyasaya sürecek mi?
$85,826 Hac.
$85,826 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
$85,826 Hac.
$85,826 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment reflects strong conviction at 90.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Apple's unwavering annual iPhone release cadence since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro production ramp-up, including a variable aperture camera now entering mass production and new colors like Dark Cherry and Light Blue. Credible reports from MacRumors and Bloomberg indicate the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September 2026 alongside a foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 may slip to spring 2027 in Apple's emerging staggered rollout strategy. While historical precedent dominates, realistic challenges like global chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or further lineup shifts could delay the core Pro models, though traders see minimal risk given ongoing hardware progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Hacim
$85,826Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment reflects strong conviction at 90.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Apple's unwavering annual iPhone release cadence since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro production ramp-up, including a variable aperture camera now entering mass production and new colors like Dark Cherry and Light Blue. Credible reports from MacRumors and Bloomberg indicate the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September 2026 alongside a foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 may slip to spring 2027 in Apple's emerging staggered rollout strategy. While historical precedent dominates, realistic challenges like global chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or further lineup shifts could delay the core Pro models, though traders see minimal risk given ongoing hardware progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$85,826Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment reflects strong conviction at 90.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Apple's unwavering annual iPhone release cadence since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro production ramp-up, including a variable aperture camera now entering mass production and new colors like Dark Cherry and Light Blue. Credible reports from MacRumors and Bloomberg indicate the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will launch in September 2026 alongside a foldable iPhone Ultra, even as the base iPhone 18 may slip to spring 2027 in Apple's emerging staggered rollout strategy. While historical precedent dominates, realistic challenges like global chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or further lineup shifts could delay the core Pro models, though traders see minimal risk given ongoing hardware progress.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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