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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?

$529,222 Hac.

2 Haz 2026
Polymarket

$529,222 Hac.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$34,699 Hac.

82%

Tom Steyer

$22,146 Hac.

74%

Xavier Becerra

$6,495 Hac.

27%

Matt Mahan

$11,800 Hac.

13%

Katie Porter

$6,696 Hac.

9%

Elaine Culotti

$1 Hac.

7%

Chad Bianco

$17,106 Hac.

6%

David Thelen

$942 Hac.

5%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Hac.

4%

Betty Yee

$3,132 Hac.

4%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,501 Hac.

3%

Dylan Colbert

$13,381 Hac.

3%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Hac.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$3,172 Hac.

3%

Derek Grasty

$17,067 Hac.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,942 Hac.

3%

Ché Ahn

$17,926 Hac.

3%

Sophia Brink

$37,787 Hac.

3%

Ian Calderon

$112,145 Hac.

3%

Brandon Jones

$35,770 Hac.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$8,046 Hac.

2%

Leo Zacky

$0 Hac.

2%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,755 Hac.

2%

Ramsey Robinson

$2,831 Hac.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Hac.

10%

Raji Rab

$2,327 Hac.

2%

David Serpa

$4,501 Hac.

2%

Butch Ware

$7,980 Hac.

2%

Leonard Jackson

$3,281 Hac.

2%

Kyle Langford

$10,817 Hac.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,504 Hac.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,488 Hac.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,814 Hac.

2%

Tony Thurmond

$1,590 Hac.

2%

Thunder Parley

$50,670 Hac.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$53,911 Hac.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two gubernatorial primary set for June 2, 2026, Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal last week amid sexual assault allegations has reshuffled a crowded Democratic field, propelling Republican Steve Hilton to 17% in the latest Emerson College poll of 1,000 likely voters (April 14-15), ahead of Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco and billionaire Tom Steyer at 14% each, Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter at 10%, and 23% undecided. Republicans consolidate their vote while Democrats remain fragmented without endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom or Nancy Pelosi, raising the prospect of two GOP candidates advancing under the nonpartisan system despite the state's blue tilt. High undecideds and top issues like the economy and housing signal volatility ahead of ballot mailing.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Hacim
$529,222
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two gubernatorial primary set for June 2, 2026, Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt withdrawal last week amid sexual assault allegations has reshuffled a crowded Democratic field, propelling Republican Steve Hilton to 17% in the latest Emerson College poll of 1,000 likely voters (April 14-15), ahead of Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco and billionaire Tom Steyer at 14% each, Xavier Becerra and Katie Porter at 10%, and 23% undecided. Republicans consolidate their vote while Democrats remain fragmented without endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom or Nancy Pelosi, raising the prospect of two GOP candidates advancing under the nonpartisan system despite the state's blue tilt. High undecideds and top issues like the economy and housing signal volatility ahead of ballot mailing.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Hacim
$529,222
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 36 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 82% ile "Steve Hilton", ardından 74% ile "Tom Steyer" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 82¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 82% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" toplam $529.2K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 4, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 36 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" için mevcut favori 82% ile "Steve Hilton"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 82% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 74% ile "Tom Steyer"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.