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US strikes Iran by...?

Market icon

US strikes Iran by...?

$529,033,417 Hac.

30 Haz 2026
Polymarket

$529,033,417 Hac.

Polymarket

December 31

$19,193 Hac.

No

January 11

$3,035,454 Hac.

No

January 12

$1,743,135 Hac.

No

January 13

$3,335,543 Hac.

No

January 14

$13,619,742 Hac.

No

January 15

$7,975,002 Hac.

No

January 16

$8,491,723 Hac.

No

January 17

$3,823,998 Hac.

No

January 18

$5,468,913 Hac.

No

January 23

$12,296,618 Hac.

No

January 24

$2,924,662 Hac.

No

January 25

$2,703,692 Hac.

No

January 26

$6,908,538 Hac.

No

January 27

$2,498,074 Hac.

No

January 28

$1,950,685 Hac.

No

January 29

$3,064,539 Hac.

No

January 30

$3,469,659 Hac.

No

January 31

$41,754,060 Hac.

No

February 1

$6,629,658 Hac.

No

February 2

$4,246,232 Hac.

No

February 3

$3,763,165 Hac.

No

February 4

$3,844,340 Hac.

No

February 5

$4,461,531 Hac.

No

February 6

$9,750,256 Hac.

No

February 7

$3,615,405 Hac.

No

February 8

$3,821,142 Hac.

No

February 9

$17,561,112 Hac.

No

February 10

$10,496,937 Hac.

No

February 11

$4,493,524 Hac.

No

February 12

$4,187,886 Hac.

No

February 13

$15,146,244 Hac.

No

February 14

$4,140,716 Hac.

No

February 15

$4,542,348 Hac.

No

February 16

$4,855,990 Hac.

No

February 17

$5,599,406 Hac.

No

February 18

$7,408,763 Hac.

No

February 19

$8,798,853 Hac.

No

February 20

$18,810,054 Hac.

No

February 21

$12,250,013 Hac.

No

February 22

$12,611,170 Hac.

No

February 23

$14,022,419 Hac.

No

February 24

$16,942,274 Hac.

No

February 25

$10,517,389 Hac.

No

February 26

$14,489,547 Hac.

No

February 27

$25,087,849 Hac.

No

February 28

$89,652,867 Hac.

Yes

March 1

$8,093,539 Hac.

Yes

March 2

$3,812,922 Hac.

Yes

March 3

$1,917,863 Hac.

Yes

March 4

$1,376,485 Hac.

Yes

March 5

$1,565,799 Hac.

Yes

March 6

$1,008,204 Hac.

Yes

March 7

$2,470,666 Hac.

Yes

March 8

$539,454 Hac.

Yes

March 9

$379,810 Hac.

Yes

March 10

$269,970 Hac.

Yes

March 11

$190,483 Hac.

Yes

March 12

$197,658 Hac.

Yes

March 13

$283,107 Hac.

Yes

March 14

$357,946 Hac.

Yes

March 15

$6,642,886 Hac.

Yes

March 31

$22,213,247 Hac.

Yes

June 30

$9,193,272 Hac.

Yes

December 31

$1,689,785 Hac.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$529,033,417
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Sonuç önerildi: No

İtiraz yok

Kesin sonuç: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$529,033,417
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Sonuç önerildi: No

İtiraz yok

Kesin sonuç: No

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"US strikes Iran by...?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 64+ olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 100% ile "February 28", ardından 100% ile "March 1" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 100¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 100% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "US strikes Iran by...?" toplam $529 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 22, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"US strikes Iran by...?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 64+ mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"US strikes Iran by...?" için mevcut favori 100% ile "February 28"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 100% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 100% ile "March 1"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"US strikes Iran by...?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.