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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

Christian Menefee 80.3%

Al Green 19.4%

Gretchen Brown 1.3%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Polymarket

$21,353 Hac.

Christian Menefee 80.3%

Al Green 19.4%

Gretchen Brown 1.3%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Polymarket

$21,353 Hac.

Christian Menefee

$13,303 Hac.

80%

Al Green

$3,492 Hac.

19%

Gretchen Brown

$2,408 Hac.

1%

Amanda Edwards

$2,150 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee leads trader consensus at 80.3% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his 46%-44% edge over veteran Rep. Al Green in the March 3 primary despite Green's long incumbency. Pre-primary polling, such as a February Houston Public Media survey showing Menefee ahead 52%-28%, underscored his momentum from a recent special election victory amid redistricting that pitted the two Democrats against each other in this safe blue Houston district. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Menefee raising $1 million—$600,000 post-February—outpacing Green, who loaned himself $200,000, while endorsements like Rep. LaSimba Gray-Simmons' bolster his position. Eliminated primary challengers Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards trail at negligible odds. Early voting begins soon, with turnout key in this low-visibility runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$21,353
Bitiş Tarihi
26 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee leads trader consensus at 80.3% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his 46%-44% edge over veteran Rep. Al Green in the March 3 primary despite Green's long incumbency. Pre-primary polling, such as a February Houston Public Media survey showing Menefee ahead 52%-28%, underscored his momentum from a recent special election victory amid redistricting that pitted the two Democrats against each other in this safe blue Houston district. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Menefee raising $1 million—$600,000 post-February—outpacing Green, who loaned himself $200,000, while endorsements like Rep. LaSimba Gray-Simmons' bolster his position. Eliminated primary challengers Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards trail at negligible odds. Early voting begins soon, with turnout key in this low-visibility runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$21,353
Bitiş Tarihi
26 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 80% ile "Christian Menefee", ardından 19% ile "Al Green" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 80¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 80% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner" toplam $21.4K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Feb 4, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 80% ile "Christian Menefee"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 80% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 19% ile "Al Green"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.