Skip to main content
Market icon
Siyaset·ABD Seçimleri

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·ABD Seçimleri

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Eric Conroy 88%

Steven Erbeck 6%

Holly Adams <1%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry <1%

Polymarket

$15,642 Hac.

Eric Conroy 88%

Steven Erbeck 6%

Holly Adams <1%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry <1%

Polymarket

$15,642 Hac.

Eric Conroy

$13,455 Hac.

88%

Steven Erbeck

$843 Hac.

6%

Holly Adams

$820 Hac.

1%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry

$525 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, driven by President Trump's complete endorsement on April 14 and joint backing from House Republican leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson. These high-profile supports, amid early voting underway, have consolidated momentum for Conroy in the crowded field against dentist Steven Erbeck, businesswoman Holly Adams, and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry, who trail due to limited endorsements and fundraising. Recent PAC spending backing Conroy reinforces his frontrunner status in this battleground district redrawn in 2025, though turnout and last-minute shifts remain factors ahead of election day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$15,642
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, driven by President Trump's complete endorsement on April 14 and joint backing from House Republican leadership including Speaker Mike Johnson. These high-profile supports, amid early voting underway, have consolidated momentum for Conroy in the crowded field against dentist Steven Erbeck, businesswoman Holly Adams, and nonprofit CEO Rosemary Oglesby-Henry, who trail due to limited endorsements and fundraising. Recent PAC spending backing Conroy reinforces his frontrunner status in this battleground district redrawn in 2025, though turnout and last-minute shifts remain factors ahead of election day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$15,642
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"OH-01 Republican Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 88% ile "Eric Conroy", ardından 6% ile "Steven Erbeck" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 88¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 88% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" toplam $15.6K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 26, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 88% ile "Eric Conroy"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 88% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 6% ile "Steven Erbeck"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.