Trader consensus prices the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff turnout most heavily in the 1.2–1.5 million and 1.5–1.8 million ranges, reflecting a balance between the March primary's record GOP participation exceeding 2.3 million ballots and typical sharp runoff drop-offs of 50–70% seen in recent cycles. The tight race between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, fueled by over $110 million in spending and national attention, sustains moderate enthusiasm among divided GOP base voters, but voter fatigue tempers higher expectations. A new Texas Public Opinion Research poll released April 17 showing Paxton leading 48–40% underscores populist momentum, yet President Trump's decision to withhold endorsement keeps dynamics uncertain. Early voting starting May 18, get-out-the-vote surges, or late scandal could separate the leading bins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTeksas Senatosu Cumhuriyetçi Birincil İkinci Tura Katılım
Teksas Senatosu Cumhuriyetçi Birincil İkinci Tura Katılım
0,6–0,9M 31%
1,2–1,5M 28.3%
0,9–1,2M 18%
<0.6M 14%
$41,624 Hac.
$41,624 Hac.
26 May 2026
<0.6M
11%
0,6–0,9M
19%
0,9–1,2M
18%
1,2–1,5M
28%
1,5–1,8M
37%
1,8–2,1M
7%
2,1–2,4M
3%
2,4–2,7M
2%
2,7M+
2%
0,6–0,9M 31%
1,2–1,5M 28.3%
0,9–1,2M 18%
<0.6M 14%
$41,624 Hac.
$41,624 Hac.
26 May 2026
<0.6M
$804 Hac.
11%
0,6–0,9M
$30,754 Hac.
19%
0,9–1,2M
$677 Hac.
18%
1,2–1,5M
$4,023 Hac.
28%
1,5–1,8M
$330 Hac.
37%
1,8–2,1M
$1,249 Hac.
7%
2,1–2,4M
$1,131 Hac.
3%
2,4–2,7M
$1,787 Hac.
2%
2,7M+
$870 Hac.
2%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff turnout most heavily in the 1.2–1.5 million and 1.5–1.8 million ranges, reflecting a balance between the March primary's record GOP participation exceeding 2.3 million ballots and typical sharp runoff drop-offs of 50–70% seen in recent cycles. The tight race between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, fueled by over $110 million in spending and national attention, sustains moderate enthusiasm among divided GOP base voters, but voter fatigue tempers higher expectations. A new Texas Public Opinion Research poll released April 17 showing Paxton leading 48–40% underscores populist momentum, yet President Trump's decision to withhold endorsement keeps dynamics uncertain. Early voting starting May 18, get-out-the-vote surges, or late scandal could separate the leading bins.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Hacim
$41,624Bitiş Tarihi
26 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff turnout most heavily in the 1.2–1.5 million and 1.5–1.8 million ranges, reflecting a balance between the March primary's record GOP participation exceeding 2.3 million ballots and typical sharp runoff drop-offs of 50–70% seen in recent cycles. The tight race between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, fueled by over $110 million in spending and national attention, sustains moderate enthusiasm among divided GOP base voters, but voter fatigue tempers higher expectations. A new Texas Public Opinion Research poll released April 17 showing Paxton leading 48–40% underscores populist momentum, yet President Trump's decision to withhold endorsement keeps dynamics uncertain. Early voting starting May 18, get-out-the-vote surges, or late scandal could separate the leading bins.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hacim
$41,624Bitiş Tarihi
26 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff turnout most heavily in the 1.2–1.5 million and 1.5–1.8 million ranges, reflecting a balance between the March primary's record GOP participation exceeding 2.3 million ballots and typical sharp runoff drop-offs of 50–70% seen in recent cycles. The tight race between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, fueled by over $110 million in spending and national attention, sustains moderate enthusiasm among divided GOP base voters, but voter fatigue tempers higher expectations. A new Texas Public Opinion Research poll released April 17 showing Paxton leading 48–40% underscores populist momentum, yet President Trump's decision to withhold endorsement keeps dynamics uncertain. Early voting starting May 18, get-out-the-vote surges, or late scandal could separate the leading bins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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