Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHiçbir Şey Olmaz: 2026
Hiçbir Şey Olmaz: 2026
Evet
$492,565 Hac.
$492,565 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$492,565 Hac.
$492,565 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Hacim
$492,565Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Hacim
$492,565Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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