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Seçimler·PRIMARIEL

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Seçimler·PRIMARIEL

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

John Cavanaugh 56%

Denise Powell 43%

Mark Johnston 3.3%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.8%

Polymarket
YENİ

John Cavanaugh 56%

Denise Powell 43%

Mark Johnston 3.3%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.8%

Polymarket
YENİ

John Cavanaugh

$4,157 Hac.

56%

Denise Powell

$910 Hac.

32%

Mark Johnston

$1,507 Hac.

3%

Evangelos Argyrakis

$351 Hac.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Nebraska state Sen. John Cavanaugh as the clear frontrunner at 64% to win the crowded NE-02 Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his legislative incumbency, name recognition in Omaha, internal polling advantages from January showing expanded leads, and a February fundraising surge past rivals. Businesswoman Denise Powell trails at 31.5%, bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List, CHC BOLD PAC, and a April 9 GQR survey claiming her 41-34 edge among likely primary voters after messaging, plus a $1 million ad buy—yet traders discount it amid perceptions of sponsor bias. Recent April 12 KETV forum intensified attacks on Cavanaugh's potential state Senate vacancy risking Democratic filibuster and local "Blue Dot" abortion protections, dismissed by him as GOP talking points echoed in a Republican ad blitz; minor candidates like Mark Johnston and Evangelos Argyrakis lag far behind.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$6,912
Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Nebraska state Sen. John Cavanaugh as the clear frontrunner at 64% to win the crowded NE-02 Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his legislative incumbency, name recognition in Omaha, internal polling advantages from January showing expanded leads, and a February fundraising surge past rivals. Businesswoman Denise Powell trails at 31.5%, bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List, CHC BOLD PAC, and a April 9 GQR survey claiming her 41-34 edge among likely primary voters after messaging, plus a $1 million ad buy—yet traders discount it amid perceptions of sponsor bias. Recent April 12 KETV forum intensified attacks on Cavanaugh's potential state Senate vacancy risking Democratic filibuster and local "Blue Dot" abortion protections, dismissed by him as GOP talking points echoed in a Republican ad blitz; minor candidates like Mark Johnston and Evangelos Argyrakis lag far behind.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$6,912
Bitiş Tarihi
12 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 56% ile "John Cavanaugh", ardından 32% ile "Denise Powell" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 56¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 56% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Nov 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 56% ile "John Cavanaugh"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 56% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 32% ile "Denise Powell"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.