Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability in the Louisiana Republican U.S. Senate primary, fueled by recent polls like American Pulse (March 20-24) and BDPC Strategies (early April) showing her atop the field at 29-31% among likely voters, ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (23-25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (19-21%). Her edge stems from President Trump's pre-announcement endorsement, contrasting Cassidy's vote to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial, despite the senator's $8 million ad blitz. High undecideds (25-27%) signal volatility before the May 16 partisan primary, where a 50% majority avoids a runoff; Fleming holds second at 18.7% as a conservative alternative.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiJulia Letlow 62%
John Fleming 18.8%
Bill Cassidy 15%
Julie Emerson <1%
$200,471 Hac.
$200,471 Hac.
16 May 2026
Julia Letlow
62%
John Fleming
19%
Bill Cassidy
15%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Julia Letlow 62%
John Fleming 18.8%
Bill Cassidy 15%
Julie Emerson <1%
$200,471 Hac.
$200,471 Hac.
16 May 2026
Julia Letlow
$14,447 Hac.
62%
John Fleming
$33,410 Hac.
19%
Bill Cassidy
$28,607 Hac.
15%
Julie Emerson
$34,021 Hac.
<1%
Blake Miguez
$19,032 Hac.
<1%
Kathy Seiden
$11,229 Hac.
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
$14,715 Hac.
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
$10,086 Hac.
<1%
Randall Arrington
$16,329 Hac.
<1%
Chris Holder
$8,691 Hac.
<1%
Xan John
$9,905 Hac.
<1%
Tracy Dendy
$0 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability in the Louisiana Republican U.S. Senate primary, fueled by recent polls like American Pulse (March 20-24) and BDPC Strategies (early April) showing her atop the field at 29-31% among likely voters, ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (23-25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (19-21%). Her edge stems from President Trump's pre-announcement endorsement, contrasting Cassidy's vote to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial, despite the senator's $8 million ad blitz. High undecideds (25-27%) signal volatility before the May 16 partisan primary, where a 50% majority avoids a runoff; Fleming holds second at 18.7% as a conservative alternative.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Hacim
$200,471Bitiş Tarihi
16 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability in the Louisiana Republican U.S. Senate primary, fueled by recent polls like American Pulse (March 20-24) and BDPC Strategies (early April) showing her atop the field at 29-31% among likely voters, ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (23-25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (19-21%). Her edge stems from President Trump's pre-announcement endorsement, contrasting Cassidy's vote to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial, despite the senator's $8 million ad blitz. High undecideds (25-27%) signal volatility before the May 16 partisan primary, where a 50% majority avoids a runoff; Fleming holds second at 18.7% as a conservative alternative.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hacim
$200,471Bitiş Tarihi
16 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability in the Louisiana Republican U.S. Senate primary, fueled by recent polls like American Pulse (March 20-24) and BDPC Strategies (early April) showing her atop the field at 29-31% among likely voters, ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (23-25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (19-21%). Her edge stems from President Trump's pre-announcement endorsement, contrasting Cassidy's vote to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial, despite the senator's $8 million ad blitz. High undecideds (25-27%) signal volatility before the May 16 partisan primary, where a 50% majority avoids a runoff; Fleming holds second at 18.7% as a conservative alternative.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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