Morgan Stanley holds the top trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability as lead bank for SpaceX's anticipated blockbuster IPO, driven by its longstanding relationship with Elon Musk—including underwriting Tesla's 2010 debut—and the return of veteran banker Michael Grimes to the firm. Goldman Sachs follows at 30%, bolstered by its senior bookrunner role amid reports of SpaceX enlisting 21 banks, including JPMorgan and Bank of America at 18%, for the code-named Project Apex offering targeting a June 2026 listing near $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent catalysts include SpaceX's confidential April filing, Musk's mandate for bankers to subscribe to Starlink services, and plans by Morgan Stanley and Goldman to mitigate post-IPO selloffs via retail investor targeting through platforms like E-Trade, reflecting competitive positioning in this mega-deal with no single "lead left" yet confirmed.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMorgan Stanley 45%
Goldman Sachs 30%
Bank of America 18.0%
JPMorgan 2.0%
$1,665,354 Hac.
$1,665,354 Hac.

Morgan Stanley
45%

Goldman Sachs
30%

Bank of America
18%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 45%
Goldman Sachs 30%
Bank of America 18.0%
JPMorgan 2.0%
$1,665,354 Hac.
$1,665,354 Hac.

Morgan Stanley
45%

Goldman Sachs
30%

Bank of America
18%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Morgan Stanley holds the top trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability as lead bank for SpaceX's anticipated blockbuster IPO, driven by its longstanding relationship with Elon Musk—including underwriting Tesla's 2010 debut—and the return of veteran banker Michael Grimes to the firm. Goldman Sachs follows at 30%, bolstered by its senior bookrunner role amid reports of SpaceX enlisting 21 banks, including JPMorgan and Bank of America at 18%, for the code-named Project Apex offering targeting a June 2026 listing near $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent catalysts include SpaceX's confidential April filing, Musk's mandate for bankers to subscribe to Starlink services, and plans by Morgan Stanley and Goldman to mitigate post-IPO selloffs via retail investor targeting through platforms like E-Trade, reflecting competitive positioning in this mega-deal with no single "lead left" yet confirmed.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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