Iran has conducted multiple ballistic missile and drone strikes against Gulf states—including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait—since early March 2026, targeting US bases and infrastructure in retaliation for US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites that initiated the conflict on February 28. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire took effect April 8 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports, though Gulf defenses intercepted additional Iranian projectiles shortly after. Saudi Arabia is mediating potential resumption of talks this week as the truce nears expiration around April 22, while mutual accusations persist, including Iran's claims of UAE drone attacks on its islands. Trader consensus reflects de-escalation signals tempered by high escalation risks from unresolved proxy dynamics and regional proxy forces.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBir Körfez Devletine karşı İran'ın askeri harekatı...?
Bir Körfez Devletine karşı İran'ın askeri harekatı...?
$235,544 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
1 Nisan
Evet
2 Nisan
Hayır
3 Nisan
Evet
4 Nisan
Evet
5 Nisan
Evet
6 Nisan
Evet
7 Nisan
Evet
8 Nisan
Evet
9 Nisan
Hayır
10 Nisan
Hayır
$235,544 Hac.
1 Nisan
$8,042 Hac.
Evet
2 Nisan
$21,615 Hac.
Hayır
3 Nisan
$34,823 Hac.
Evet
4 Nisan
$23,462 Hac.
Evet
5 Nisan
$26,153 Hac.
Evet
6 Nisan
$31,284 Hac.
Evet
7 Nisan
$4,711 Hac.
Evet
8 Nisan
$12,963 Hac.
Evet
9 Nisan
$48,197 Hac.
Hayır
10 Nisan
$24,293 Hac.
Hayır
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a Gulf State's soil on the listed date in Arabia Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a gulf state's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of a listed gulf state counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a gulf state's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground-based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Iranian or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Iran has conducted multiple ballistic missile and drone strikes against Gulf states—including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait—since early March 2026, targeting US bases and infrastructure in retaliation for US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites that initiated the conflict on February 28. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire took effect April 8 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports, though Gulf defenses intercepted additional Iranian projectiles shortly after. Saudi Arabia is mediating potential resumption of talks this week as the truce nears expiration around April 22, while mutual accusations persist, including Iran's claims of UAE drone attacks on its islands. Trader consensus reflects de-escalation signals tempered by high escalation risks from unresolved proxy dynamics and regional proxy forces.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a Gulf State's soil on the listed date in Arabia Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a gulf state's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of a listed gulf state counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a gulf state's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground-based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Iranian or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a gulf state's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of a listed gulf state counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a gulf state's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground-based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Iranian or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
Hacim
$235,544Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 1:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Evet
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a Gulf State's soil on the listed date in Arabia Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a gulf state's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of a listed gulf state counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a gulf state's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground-based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Iranian or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Iran has conducted multiple ballistic missile and drone strikes against Gulf states—including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait—since early March 2026, targeting US bases and infrastructure in retaliation for US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites that initiated the conflict on February 28. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire took effect April 8 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports, though Gulf defenses intercepted additional Iranian projectiles shortly after. Saudi Arabia is mediating potential resumption of talks this week as the truce nears expiration around April 22, while mutual accusations persist, including Iran's claims of UAE drone attacks on its islands. Trader consensus reflects de-escalation signals tempered by high escalation risks from unresolved proxy dynamics and regional proxy forces.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a Gulf State's soil on the listed date in Arabia Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a gulf state's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of a listed gulf state counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a gulf state's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground-based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Iranian or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a gulf state's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of a listed gulf state counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on a gulf state's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground-based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Iranian or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Hacim
$235,544Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 1:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Evet
Iran has conducted multiple ballistic missile and drone strikes against Gulf states—including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait—since early March 2026, targeting US bases and infrastructure in retaliation for US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites that initiated the conflict on February 28. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire took effect April 8 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports, though Gulf defenses intercepted additional Iranian projectiles shortly after. Saudi Arabia is mediating potential resumption of talks this week as the truce nears expiration around April 22, while mutual accusations persist, including Iran's claims of UAE drone attacks on its islands. Trader consensus reflects de-escalation signals tempered by high escalation risks from unresolved proxy dynamics and regional proxy forces.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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