Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for Republican governors post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats (34.5%) edging 22–23 (31.0%), driven by recent forecast shifts and mixed early polling in battleground races. Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 downgraded Georgia and Ohio open seats from Leans/Likely Republican to Toss-up/Lean Republican amid competitive primaries and candidate risks, while Cook Political Report on April 16 solidified Alaska as Likely Republican. Low Trump approval in the high 30s–low 40s, tied to inflation and Iran tensions, signals midterm headwinds, offset by Republican leads in California polls where a split Democratic field boosts pickup odds in the Newsom open. Toss-ups like Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, plus multiple term-limited GOP seats, keep totals clustered; primary outcomes and generic ballot trends could tip toward separation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 ara seçimlerinden sonra kaç Cumhuriyetçi Vali?
2026 ara seçimlerinden sonra kaç Cumhuriyetçi Vali?
24–25 35%
22–23 31%
<22 19%
26–27 16%
$663,176 Hac.
$663,176 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
<22
19%
22–23
31%
24–25
35%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
24–25 35%
22–23 31%
<22 19%
26–27 16%
$663,176 Hac.
$663,176 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
<22
$44,868 Hac.
19%
22–23
$5,419 Hac.
31%
24–25
$29,754 Hac.
35%
26–27
$13,085 Hac.
16%
28–29
$552,900 Hac.
5%
30–31
$4,911 Hac.
1%
32+
$12,238 Hac.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for Republican governors post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats (34.5%) edging 22–23 (31.0%), driven by recent forecast shifts and mixed early polling in battleground races. Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 downgraded Georgia and Ohio open seats from Leans/Likely Republican to Toss-up/Lean Republican amid competitive primaries and candidate risks, while Cook Political Report on April 16 solidified Alaska as Likely Republican. Low Trump approval in the high 30s–low 40s, tied to inflation and Iran tensions, signals midterm headwinds, offset by Republican leads in California polls where a split Democratic field boosts pickup odds in the Newsom open. Toss-ups like Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, plus multiple term-limited GOP seats, keep totals clustered; primary outcomes and generic ballot trends could tip toward separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Hacim
$663,176Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for Republican governors post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats (34.5%) edging 22–23 (31.0%), driven by recent forecast shifts and mixed early polling in battleground races. Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 downgraded Georgia and Ohio open seats from Leans/Likely Republican to Toss-up/Lean Republican amid competitive primaries and candidate risks, while Cook Political Report on April 16 solidified Alaska as Likely Republican. Low Trump approval in the high 30s–low 40s, tied to inflation and Iran tensions, signals midterm headwinds, offset by Republican leads in California polls where a split Democratic field boosts pickup odds in the Newsom open. Toss-ups like Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, plus multiple term-limited GOP seats, keep totals clustered; primary outcomes and generic ballot trends could tip toward separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$663,176Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for Republican governors post-2026 midterms, with 24–25 seats (34.5%) edging 22–23 (31.0%), driven by recent forecast shifts and mixed early polling in battleground races. Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 downgraded Georgia and Ohio open seats from Leans/Likely Republican to Toss-up/Lean Republican amid competitive primaries and candidate risks, while Cook Political Report on April 16 solidified Alaska as Likely Republican. Low Trump approval in the high 30s–low 40s, tied to inflation and Iran tensions, signals midterm headwinds, offset by Republican leads in California polls where a split Democratic field boosts pickup odds in the Newsom open. Toss-ups like Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, plus multiple term-limited GOP seats, keep totals clustered; primary outcomes and generic ballot trends could tip toward separation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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