The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
28°C 100.0%
20°C veya altı <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$375,526 Hac.
$375,526 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
20°C veya altı
Hayır
21°C
Hayır
22°C
Hayır
23°C
Hayır
24°C
Hayır
25°C
Hayır
26°C
Hayır
27°C
Hayır
28°C
Evet
29°C
Hayır
30°C veya daha yüksek
Hayır
28°C 100.0%
20°C veya altı <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$375,526 Hac.
$375,526 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
20°C veya altı
$6,020 Hac.
Hayır
21°C
$2,045 Hac.
Hayır
22°C
$2,116 Hac.
Hayır
23°C
$3,060 Hac.
Hayır
24°C
$2,556 Hac.
Hayır
25°C
$9,062 Hac.
Hayır
26°C
$32,230 Hac.
Hayır
27°C
$51,647 Hac.
Hayır
28°C
$146,310 Hac.
Evet
29°C
$62,562 Hac.
Hayır
30°C veya daha yüksek
$57,917 Hac.
Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Hacim
$375,526Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$375,526Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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