Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
30°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$75,450 Hac.
$75,450 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
27°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$75,450 Hac.
$75,450 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
27°C
$11,952 Hac.
<1%
29°C
$8,289 Hac.
<1%
30°C
$12,213 Hac.
100%
31°C
$7,694 Hac.
<1%
32°C
$2,850 Hac.
<1%
33°C
$1,757 Hac.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,717 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Hacim
$75,450Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: No
İtiraz penceresi
Kesin
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$75,450Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: No
İtiraz penceresi
Kesin
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 30°C (99.8% implied probability) as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport today, driven by official INMET observational data and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 29-30°C amid clear skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge. This autumn warmth exceeds the April climatological average of 25-27°C, fueled by light winds, low humidity around 55%, and minimal cloud interference allowing solar heating to dominate. Model consensus from INMET and CPTEC aligns, projecting no further intensification as the sun sets. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from adiabatic compression, though evening showers loom; final resolution awaits INMET's end-of-day records.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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