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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan

Manny Rutinel 85%

Shannon Bird 12%

Dave Young 1.7%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Polymarket

$14,848 Hac.

Manny Rutinel 85%

Shannon Bird 12%

Dave Young 1.7%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Polymarket

$14,848 Hac.

Manny Rutinel

$9,450 Hac.

85%

Shannon Bird

$1,649 Hac.

12%

Dave Young

$1,253 Hac.

2%

Yadira Caraveo

$696 Hac.

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$985 Hac.

1%

John Szemler

$815 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel commands 85% trader consensus as the CO-08 Democratic primary frontrunner ahead of the June 30 vote, fueled by his fundraising dominance among Democrats and a fresh $50,000 digital ad campaign launched April 13 targeting former Rep. Shannon Bird's record on immigration bills, where she cast rare "no" votes against party priorities like ICE cooperation limits. This escalation in the two-way race, as rated by Cook Political Report, underscores Rutinel's momentum in consolidating support amid a crowded field, while Bird lingers at 12.5% bolstered by endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran's but hampered by intra-party attacks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo trails at under 1% post her narrow 2024 general election loss, with Treasurer Dave Young and others showing minimal viability; upcoming forums or internal polls could tip this battleground district primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$14,848
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel commands 85% trader consensus as the CO-08 Democratic primary frontrunner ahead of the June 30 vote, fueled by his fundraising dominance among Democrats and a fresh $50,000 digital ad campaign launched April 13 targeting former Rep. Shannon Bird's record on immigration bills, where she cast rare "no" votes against party priorities like ICE cooperation limits. This escalation in the two-way race, as rated by Cook Political Report, underscores Rutinel's momentum in consolidating support amid a crowded field, while Bird lingers at 12.5% bolstered by endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran's but hampered by intra-party attacks. Former incumbent Yadira Caraveo trails at under 1% post her narrow 2024 general election loss, with Treasurer Dave Young and others showing minimal viability; upcoming forums or internal polls could tip this battleground district primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$14,848
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 6 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 85% ile "Manny Rutinel", ardından 12% ile "Shannon Bird" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 85¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 85% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan" toplam $14.8K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 6 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan" için mevcut favori 85% ile "Manny Rutinel"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 85% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 12% ile "Shannon Bird"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"CO -08 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.