Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting elevated June WTI futures trading near $88 amid acute supply risks from a 27% OPEC+ production plunge in March due to Middle East attacks and Iran tensions. Spot WTI has surged to four-year highs around $96 in recent sessions, driven by fears of prolonged disruptions including potential Strait of Hormuz closures, overshadowing OPEC's lowered Q2 demand forecast. Lower bins like $77-$84 at 14.5% capture modest de-escalation scenarios, while sub-$70 outcomes languish below 8% given persistent geopolitical premiums and limited non-OPEC supply response. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and EIA inventory data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHam Petrol (CL) haziran ayında ne kadara yerleşecek?
Ham Petrol (CL) haziran ayında ne kadara yerleşecek?
>84$ 56%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 7.7%
$63-$70 5.2%
$129,809 Hac.
$129,809 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>84$
56%
>84$ 56%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 7.7%
$63-$70 5.2%
$129,809 Hac.
$129,809 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
<$42
$16,096 Hac.
3%
$42-$49
$4,389 Hac.
2%
$49-$56
$5,641 Hac.
2%
$56-$63
$5,318 Hac.
4%
$63-$70
$18,584 Hac.
5%
$70-$77
$6,733 Hac.
8%
$77-$84
$10,031 Hac.
15%
>84$
$63,018 Hac.
56%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting elevated June WTI futures trading near $88 amid acute supply risks from a 27% OPEC+ production plunge in March due to Middle East attacks and Iran tensions. Spot WTI has surged to four-year highs around $96 in recent sessions, driven by fears of prolonged disruptions including potential Strait of Hormuz closures, overshadowing OPEC's lowered Q2 demand forecast. Lower bins like $77-$84 at 14.5% capture modest de-escalation scenarios, while sub-$70 outcomes languish below 8% given persistent geopolitical premiums and limited non-OPEC supply response. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and EIA inventory data.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Hacim
$129,809Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting elevated June WTI futures trading near $88 amid acute supply risks from a 27% OPEC+ production plunge in March due to Middle East attacks and Iran tensions. Spot WTI has surged to four-year highs around $96 in recent sessions, driven by fears of prolonged disruptions including potential Strait of Hormuz closures, overshadowing OPEC's lowered Q2 demand forecast. Lower bins like $77-$84 at 14.5% capture modest de-escalation scenarios, while sub-$70 outcomes languish below 8% given persistent geopolitical premiums and limited non-OPEC supply response. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and EIA inventory data.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Hacim
$129,809Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56.5% implied probability to Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting elevated June WTI futures trading near $88 amid acute supply risks from a 27% OPEC+ production plunge in March due to Middle East attacks and Iran tensions. Spot WTI has surged to four-year highs around $96 in recent sessions, driven by fears of prolonged disruptions including potential Strait of Hormuz closures, overshadowing OPEC's lowered Q2 demand forecast. Lower bins like $77-$84 at 14.5% capture modest de-escalation scenarios, while sub-$70 outcomes languish below 8% given persistent geopolitical premiums and limited non-OPEC supply response. Key catalysts ahead include upcoming OPEC+ meetings and EIA inventory data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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